By Alden Bentley
A look at the day ahead in Asian markets.
The Trump trade carried Wall Street to fresh records on
Monday but election-week momentum faded in holiday thinned
markets that don't leave Asia much to cue off aside from
disappointment in China's stimulus proposals.
Except, perhaps, in the cryptosphere, where Donald Trump's
sweeping win over Democratic candidate Vice President Kamala
Harris kept activity lively, thanks to the president-elect's
pre-election bitcoin cheerleading.
The largest digital currency soared above $85,000 for the first
time, carrying associated shares along with it.
Treasury markets, being closed for the U.S. Veterans Day
holiday, offered no signals.
Fed funds futures however showed traders see a 65% chance
that the Fed will follow last week's quarter point cut with
another at its Dec. 17-18 meeting, even as easing expectations
for next year were dialed back.
The three main U.S. indexes climbed
further into uncharted territory in early trading, although the
benchmark S&P 500 had difficulty holding above the 6,000
threshold that it first traded above on Friday.
The stock market loves the Trump proposals for tax cuts and
deregulation, especially the Russell 2000 small cap index
, which rose about 1.5% to within 1% of the record high
from November 2021.
Bonds have been less enamored of Trump's promise to impose
import tariffs that many economists see as likely to raise
inflation and kick off retaliation from trade partners.
The 30-year Treasury yield hit its highest
since the end of May last week after the election, while the
yield on the 10-year note rose to its highest
since early July and the two-year hit its highest
since late July.
The dollar was still buoyed by higher yields, rising against
the yuan to its highest since early August at 7.2332
yuan. Dollar/yen rose 0.7% to 153.78.
Several stocks that gained following the election continued
their upward trajectory. Tesla jumped almost 8% after
touching $1 trillion in market value on Friday for the first
time since 2022. Elon Musk, Tesla's billionaire CEO, has close
ties to Trump and his companies look positioned to benefit under
the new administration.
U.S. listed cryptocurrency stocks surged, with crypto
exchange Coinbase Global ( COIN ) jumping more than 20% and
iShares Bitcoin Trust up more than 13%. Crypto miner
Riot Platforms ( RIOT ) surged 17%, while MicroStrategy ( MSTR )
, one of bitcoin's biggest corporate backers, gained
28%.
Beijing's proposed 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion) package
to shore up local government financing, announced late on
Friday, did not offer a direct boost to its flagging economy.
Thus investor disappointment overshadowed the record run Wall
Street closed out with last week.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
closed down 1% on Monday after Hong Kong's Hang
Seng sank 1.45%. Chinese blue chips rose 0.66%
higher after an early fall and Tokyo's Nikkei ended
0.08% higher.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to markets on Tuesday:
- India CPI (Oct)
- India Industrial output (Sept)
- South Korea Unemployment (Oct)