Oct 3 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets.
Japanese markets, particularly the foreign exchanges, continue
to digest the rather blunt comments on monetary policy from new
prime minister Shigeru Ishiba after he met with Bank of Japan
governor Kazuo Ueda on Wednesday.
"I do not believe that we are in an environment that would
require us to raise interest rates further," Ishiba said,
sparking a huge wave of yen selling.
The yen shed almost 2% against the dollar on Wednesday, its
biggest fall since February last year. Excluding the
pandemic-related volatility of March 2020, it was one of the
steepest declines in over a decade.
Meetings between Japan's prime minister and central bank
governor are not unusual, but this one came only days after
Ishiba took office. His comments were unusually direct too -
"somewhat unseemly," according to Washington-based economist
Phil Suttle.
Analysts at JP Morgan reckon the Ishiba administration will
adopt a "market-friendly" policy stance until next summer when
the upper house election is scheduled, which should soothe
market concerns about growth.
The yen's plunge reflects how extreme market positioning has
become. U.S. futures market data show hedge funds are holding
their biggest 'long' yen position since 2016 and one of their
largest ever.
Asahi Noguchi, a dovish BOJ board member who dissented
against the central bank's rate hike in July, on Thursday
delivers a speech and holds a media conference, where he is
likely to be asked about Ishiba's comments.
Elsewhere in Asia, Thailand's finance minister Pichai
Chunhavajira and central bank chief Sethaput Suthiwartnarueput
speak at a central bank event on Thursday.
Asia's economic calendar sees the release of purchasing
managers index data from Australia and Singapore, and the latest
international trade figures from Australia.
The dollar's rally against the yen and U.S. economic data on
Wednesday helped lift the greenback to a three-week high against
a basket of currencies and register its third daily rise of
around 0.5%.
Escalating tensions between Iran and Israel continue to sustain
safe-haven demand for the dollar and the rebound in oil prices.
Brent crude rose above $76 a barrel for the first time in a
month, but only ended the day up around 1%.
Investors will also be assessing news that France, Greece, Italy
and Poland will vote on Friday in favor of hefty tariffs of up
to 45% on imports of electric vehicles made in China. That could
push through the European Union's highest profile trade
measures, risking potential retaliation from Beijing.
How will Germany vote? Finance Minister Christian Lindner
said the country must oppose the EU proposal, adding: "A trade
war with China would do us more harm than good for a key
European industry and a crucial sector in Germany."
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to Asian markets on Thursday:
- Australia trade (August)
- Japan, Australia, Singapore PMIs (September)
- Hong Kong retail sales (August)