March 29 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets.
Markets in Asia on Friday will be quieter and probably more
range-bound than usual with most of the rest of the world closed
for Good Friday, but there is always the chance of outsized
moves when liquidity is so thin.
Especially if Japanese authorities take advantage of the calm to
intervene in the currency market and pull the yen up from this
week's 34-year low near 152.00 per dollar.
The main event for world markets on Friday is U.S. PCE
inflation data which will land when the Asian day is over, and
most of Europe and U.S. stock and bond markets are closed for
Easter.
The first quarter draws to a close with global sentiment riding
pretty high after revised fourth quarter U.S. growth and
inflation data on Thursday boosted the 'soft landing' or even
'no landing' scenario.
In Asia on Friday, investors face a batch of Japanese
indicators including unemployment, retail sales, industrial
production and Tokyo inflation.
There's potential for decent moves in the yen - thin
liquidity, a raft of top-tier domestic data and the currency
already languishing at its lowest levels in decades.
A double whammy of soft Tokyo inflation and punchy U.S.
inflation could push the dollar back up to 152 yen and test
Japan's resolve.
Prime Minister Fumio Kishida on Thursday waded in to the
debate: "We will monitor currency moves with a high sense of
urgency and respond appropriately without ruling out any options
to deal with excessive currency moves."
Whether Japan wants to trigger a potentially sizeable move
in the exchange rate and spike in volatility on the last day of
Japan's fiscal year remains to be seen. But traders will be on
their guard.
Japanese stocks will be looking to rebound from a 1.5% slump
on Thursday but may struggle if the yen strengthens further.
Chinese stocks, meanwhile, will be looking just to close the
month in the green. They jumped on Thursday after the South
China Morning Post reported that President Xi Jinping has urged
the central bank to buy government bonds as part of a broader
stimulus push.
There may be further signs that China is seeking to engage
with the international community on trade and business that
could boost investor sentiment.
After Xi's meeting this week with top U.S. business leaders,
commerce minister Wang Wentao will travel to Europe soon for
discussions about the European Commission's investigation into
whether China's electric vehicle industry has benefited from
unfair subsidies.
But the property sector black cloud looms large. Several
developers on Thursday reported weaker 2023 earnings and Country
Garden, China's largest private developer, said it will delay
its 2023 results due to "continuous volatility" in what is an
"increasingly complex" sector.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to markets on Friday:
- Japan Tokyo inflation (March)
- Japan retail sales, industrial production, unemployment
(February)
- South Korea retail sales, industrial production
(February)