financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
Morning Bid: Dip buying persists, Canada set to ease
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Morning Bid: Dip buying persists, Canada set to ease
Jun 5, 2024 3:31 AM

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan

Any investor trepidation about a slowing U.S. economy is once again being offset by renewed interest rate cut hopes - seeing the third day in row that Wall St stocks have turned around early losses to end higher by the close.

In a week packed with employment updates, Tuesday's hat-trick of late market rallies followed further signs of a cooling U.S. labor market. U.S. job openings fell more than expected in April to the lowest in more than three years, with the ratio of vacancies to job-seekers also back at mid-2021 levels.

With one eye on Friday's May employment report, Wednesday's release of ADP's private sector job survey is next on the slate and a modest slowdown in job creation to 175,000 is forecast.

But already Federal Reserve rate cut speculation is back on the boil - with 45 basis points of 2024 Fed easing back in the futures strip and a near 80% chance of pre-election first move priced by September.

Aided by this week's plunge in energy prices and crude oil back at February levels, U.S. Treasury yields ebbed further on Tuesday before steadying today as they await the big jobs release later in the week.

Whatever the Fed does, the Bank of Canada is set to beat it to the punch and is widely expected cut as soon as Wednesday.

With inflation back in the BoC's 1-3% target range and following disappointing early year growth readings, money markets have priced an 80% chance of a quarter point cut later today and three quarters of economists polled also expect one.

Reflecting the forecasts, the Canadian dollar was steady ahead of the decision.

More broadly, monetary easing around the world is the main reason renewed Fed rate cut speculation has done such little damage to the U.S. dollar.

With a European Central Bank rate cut also widely expected on Thursday, four of the G7 economies would then be in easing mode. And following rate cuts in Switzerland and Sweden already this year, four central banks of the G10 most traded currencies will likely have cut by the end of this week.

Even though the Bank of Japan is heading in the opposite direction, the yen fell back again on Thursday. Japan's inflation-adjusted 'real' wages fell 0.7% in April from a year earlier - extending a record streak of 25 consecutive monthly declines - but slowed the pace of decline as the BoJ watches closely.

Japanese and Chinese benchmark stocks were in the red on Wednesday - bucking a more upbeat day for other bourses across Asia and Europe.

China markets were dragged lower by consumer and property shares, despite an unexpected pickup in service activity in May.

China's services activity in May accelerated at the quickest pace in 10 months, while staffing levels expanded for the first time since January, a private sector survey showed on Wednesday.

Indian shares recovered some of Tuesday's withering election-related losses, jumping back 3% after two key allies pledged their support to form a new government following a narrow win for Prime Minister Narendra Modi's alliance.

Back on Wall St, S&P500 futures were higher ahead of the opening.

And a potential rival to the New York Stock Exchange was gaining some attention.

A group backed by BlackRock and Citadel Securities is planning to start a new national stock exchange in Texas, a spokesperson for Citadel Securities said on Tuesday.

The Texas Stock Exchange, which has raised about $120 million, plans to file registration documents with the Securities and Exchange Commission later this year, The Wall Street Journal reported.

Key diary items that may provide direction to U.S. markets later on Wednesday:

* Bank of Canada policy decision

* US May ADP private sector jobs report, US May service sector surveys from ISM and S&PGlobal

* US President Joe Biden visits France for 80th D-Day anniversary

* US corporate earnings: Dollar Tree, Lululemon, Campbell Soup, Brown-Forman

(Editing by Bernadette Baum)

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Euro zone bond yields dip as traders assess interest rate outlook
Euro zone bond yields dip as traders assess interest rate outlook
Apr 17, 2024
LONDON, April 17 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields fell slightly on Wednesday after climbing to a 1-1/2-month high the previous day, as traders assessed central banks' possible next moves following robust U.S. data. This week's fall in demand for safe assets pushed bond yields higher, while surprisingly strong U.S. retail data on Monday caused investors to further trim bets...
European Equities Close Higher in Wednesday Trading; Euro Area, EU Inflation Rate Declines in March
European Equities Close Higher in Wednesday Trading; Euro Area, EU Inflation Rate Declines in March
Apr 17, 2024
12:06 PM EDT, 04/17/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The European stock markets closed higher in Wednesday trading as The Stoxx Europe 600 gained 0.17%, the Swiss Market Index was up 0.31%, France's CAC increased 0.62%, the FTSE in London rose 0.35%, and Germany's DAX closed 0.02% higher. Annual inflation in the euro area rose 2.4% in March, down from 2.6% in...
RBC Capital Markets Says Uranium Spot Prices Slightly Up Week Over Week; Strong Market Allows Sprott To Buy Uranium
RBC Capital Markets Says Uranium Spot Prices Slightly Up Week Over Week; Strong Market Allows Sprott To Buy Uranium
Apr 17, 2024
10:53 AM EDT, 04/17/2024 (MT Newswires) -- RBC Capital Markets said Tuesday that uranium spot prices were up slightly over the past week due to increased buying interest and strength in uranium equities. RBC said strong uranium stocks allowed Sprott Physical Uranium Trust Fund (U-UN.TO) to raise capital and purchase 100,000 pounds of uranium. According to RBC, the strong market...
EMERGING MARKETS-Latam stocks, currencies snap 5-day losing streak as dollar recedes
EMERGING MARKETS-Latam stocks, currencies snap 5-day losing streak as dollar recedes
Apr 17, 2024
* US signals Venezuela oil sanctions relief at risk as deadline looms * Brazil's IBC-Br economic activity index up in February * Chile central bank considered 75 or 100 bp cut in April- minutes * Latam stocks and currencies up 0.8% each By Bansari Mayur Kamdar April 17 (Reuters) - Currencies in Latin America bounced back on Wednesday, after five...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved