financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
Morning Bid: EM conditions tighten, outflows heighten
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Morning Bid: EM conditions tighten, outflows heighten
Nov 17, 2024 5:44 PM

(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. 

Asian markets could be in for a rocky ride on Monday, as rising U.S. bond yields, a surging dollar and a wobble on Wall Street on Friday call into question the wisdom of buying local assets.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments on Thursday - that the central bank is in no rush to lower interest rates - continue to reverberate around world markets.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield on Friday hit 4.50% for the first time in over five months, and Wall Street fell. The Nasdaq lost more than 2% and has fallen four days in a row - the last time it did that was in April.

The MSCI World equity index has also fallen four days in a row, its longest losing streak since the first week of September, while the MSCI Asia ex-Japan index lost 4.35%, its biggest weekly decline since June, 2022.

If that wasn't enough for emerging market investors, they are having to grapple with an extraordinary rally in the U.S. dollar.

The dollar index last week leapt 1.6%, hit its highest in over a year, and recorded a seventh weekly rise in a row. It is no doubt due for a correction, but momentum is strong and it looks like it will take some bravery and conviction to stand in its way right now.

Goldman Sachs's emerging market financial conditions index last week spiked to a three and a half month high.

Against that potent mix of strong U.S. economic data, yields and dollar, it's no surprise emerging markets are struggling. Citing EPFR Global data, strategists at Barclays note that emerging market funds have now posted outflows five weeks in a row, with bond fund outflows particularly strong.

Asia's calendar on Monday is fairly light, with the main highlights likely to be New Zealand producer prices, Singapore non-oil trade figures, Japanese machinery orders, earnings from Mitsubishi UFJ, and GDP data from Thailand.

Economists polled by Reuters expect Thailand's growth accelerated to a 2.6% annual rate from 2.3% in the April-June period. That would be the fastest pace of growth in one-and-a-half years.

The Thai baht has been one of the better-performing Asian currencies against the dollar this year, down only 1.3% year-to-date, and markets are expecting less than 50 basis points of Bank of Thailand easing by the end of next year.

Strained U.S.-Sino relations remain in the spotlight, after China's President Xi Jinping told his U.S. counterpart Joe Biden that the issues of Taiwan, democracy, human rights and rights to development are "red lines" for China and not to be challenged.

But Xi also said China is ready to work with the new U.S. administration to "maintain communication, expand cooperation and manage differences."

Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Monday:

- Thailand GDP (Q3)

- Japan machinery orders (September)

- G20 summit in Rio de Janeiro begins

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
CANADA STOCKS-Canada's main stock index ends higher on solid bank earnings
CANADA STOCKS-Canada's main stock index ends higher on solid bank earnings
Aug 26, 2025
(Updates with market close numbers, analysts' comments throughout) * S&P/TSX composite index closed up 0.6% to 28,339.88 points * BMO and Scotiabank beat third-quarter earnings estimates * Index also aided by gold prices, which rose to two-week high By Nikhil Sharma and Promit Mukherjee Aug 26 (Reuters) - Canada's main stock index closed up on Tuesday as strong bank earnings...
PRECIOUS-Gold edges lower as dollar firms, but Fed turmoil limits losses
PRECIOUS-Gold edges lower as dollar firms, but Fed turmoil limits losses
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 27 (Reuters) - Gold prices edged lower on Wednesday, pressured by an uptick in the dollar, although renewed concerns over the U.S. central bank's independence after President Donald Trump's threat to fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook lent support to bullion. FUNDAMENTALS * Spot gold was down 0.2% at $3,386.19 per ounce, as of 0118 GMT, after hitting its...
TRADING DAY-Rate outlook Trumps deepening Fed turmoil
TRADING DAY-Rate outlook Trumps deepening Fed turmoil
Aug 26, 2025
ORLANDO, Florida, Aug 26 (Reuters) - TRADING DAY Making sense of the forces driving global markets By Jamie McGeever, Markets Columnist U.S. stocks rose on Tuesday as investors looked at President Donald Trump's controversial efforts to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook through the prism of possible interest rate cuts soon and parked to one side the longer-term erosion of confidence...
Trading Day: Rate outlook Trumps deepening Fed turmoil
Trading Day: Rate outlook Trumps deepening Fed turmoil
Aug 26, 2025
ORLANDO, Florida (Reuters) -TRADING DAY Making sense of the forces driving global markets By Jamie McGeever, Markets Columnist  U.S. stocks rose on Tuesday as investors looked at President Donald Trump's controversial efforts to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook through the prism of possible interest rate cuts soon and parked to one side the longer-term erosion of confidence in the central...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved