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MORNING BID EUROPE-All about rates
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MORNING BID EUROPE-All about rates
Jun 17, 2024 10:24 PM

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Rae

Wee

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday kept rates on

hold, flagging stubborn domestic price pressures - a common

theme that other central banks across the globe are grappling

with.

The RBA's rate decision capped an otherwise uneventful day

for Asia, and with a light data calendar in Europe, the focus

turns back to political turmoil in the bloc, though futures

suggest markets may get some respite after last week's beating.

Campaigning had kicked off on Monday for France's snap

parliamentary election, which opinion polls suggest the

far-right National Rally will win ahead of a left-wing alliance.

President Emmanuel Macron's centrist group is trailing in third.

In the United States, May's retail sales are the main

figures to watch and markets will also have speeches from no

fewer than six Fed officials.

Expectations are for retail sales to have ticked slightly

higher on a monthly basis in May after April's downside

surprise, though the overall picture is still expected to point

to slowing momentum in consumer spending.

As for Fed speak, policymakers are likely to sing from the

same hymn sheet as Chair Jerome Powell last week, with last

week's benign inflation report possibly giving some leeway to

sound a little more dovish.

While the rest of the world looks to loosen monetary policy,

in Japan, central bank governor Kazuo Ueda said interest rates

could be raised next month depending on economic data,

underscoring his resolve to further unwind massive stimulus.

That would typically be welcome news for the yen,

but the Japanese currency barely reacted and struggled on the

weaker side of 157 per dollar on Tuesday.

Perhaps investors have learnt their lesson not to keep their

hopes too high when it comes to the Bank of Japan, especially

after last week's policy decision, which was a damp squib for

those betting on an immediate reduction in bond purchases.

Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:

- U.S. retail sales (May)

- Fed's Barkin, Collins, Kugler, Logan, Musalem and Goolsbee

speak

- Euro zone final HICP (May)

(Editing by Sam Holmes)

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