A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Rae
Wee
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) on Tuesday kept rates on
hold, flagging stubborn domestic price pressures - a common
theme that other central banks across the globe are grappling
with.
The RBA's rate decision capped an otherwise uneventful day
for Asia, and with a light data calendar in Europe, the focus
turns back to political turmoil in the bloc, though futures
suggest markets may get some respite after last week's beating.
Campaigning had kicked off on Monday for France's snap
parliamentary election, which opinion polls suggest the
far-right National Rally will win ahead of a left-wing alliance.
President Emmanuel Macron's centrist group is trailing in third.
In the United States, May's retail sales are the main
figures to watch and markets will also have speeches from no
fewer than six Fed officials.
Expectations are for retail sales to have ticked slightly
higher on a monthly basis in May after April's downside
surprise, though the overall picture is still expected to point
to slowing momentum in consumer spending.
As for Fed speak, policymakers are likely to sing from the
same hymn sheet as Chair Jerome Powell last week, with last
week's benign inflation report possibly giving some leeway to
sound a little more dovish.
While the rest of the world looks to loosen monetary policy,
in Japan, central bank governor Kazuo Ueda said interest rates
could be raised next month depending on economic data,
underscoring his resolve to further unwind massive stimulus.
That would typically be welcome news for the yen,
but the Japanese currency barely reacted and struggled on the
weaker side of 157 per dollar on Tuesday.
Perhaps investors have learnt their lesson not to keep their
hopes too high when it comes to the Bank of Japan, especially
after last week's policy decision, which was a damp squib for
those betting on an immediate reduction in bond purchases.
Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:
- U.S. retail sales (May)
- Fed's Barkin, Collins, Kugler, Logan, Musalem and Goolsbee
speak
- Euro zone final HICP (May)
(Editing by Sam Holmes)