A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Gregor Stuart Hunter:
Japan's Sanae Takaichi, on track to be prime minister and the
first female holder of the job, has set pulses racing in Tokyo
lately but today she is encountering pushback on her earlier
tough talk towards the central bank from the campaign trail.
An avowed fiscal dove who last year called the Bank of Japan
"stupid" for raising interest rates, Takaichi has reined in her
previous criticism of the central bank - but is still urging the
BOJ to "align" with the government's goal.
One reason for her watered-down criticism may be the ongoing
talks with the ruling Liberal Democratic Party's junior
coalition partner Komeito. Another factor is the yen.
Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato today voiced concern about
"one-sided, rapid moves in the foreign exchange market" that
have pushed the currency 3.5% weaker since Takaichi's election
this weekend to 153 against the dollar, representing the yen's
weakest level in eight months. Market fantasies of a second
volley of Abenomics could meet with a reality check.
Someone else who might prefer fewer headaches from the prime
minister's office today is Emmanuel Macron, who is seeking to
appoint his sixth in two years. In early European trades,
pan-region futures were little changed.
U.S. equity futures stabilised after declines for
the S&P 500 on Thursday, rising 0.1%, while the U.S. dollar
index edged down 0.1%, retracing gains after the political
worries in Japan and France pushed the greenback to a two-month
high.
Asian stocks limped towards the end of the
week on Friday, down 0.4%, as the sense of exhaustion on Wall
Street lingered into early trading in the region, while
commodity markets took a breather after their recent charge
higher.
Chinese stocks tumbled after Beijing expanded its
rare earths export controls on Thursday, tightening restrictions
over the sector ahead of talks between Presidents Trump and Xi
Jinping.
Gold slipped, extending declines after snapping a four-day
winning streak on Thursday, shortly after breaching the $4,000
mark for the first time. Spot gold was last trading down
0.3% at $3,964.50 per ounce.
In energy markets, Brent crude slipped 0.4% to
$64.95 per barrel, after Israel's government ratified a
ceasefire with the Palestinian militant group Hamas on Friday,
clearing the way to suspend hostilities in Gaza within 24 hours
and free Israeli hostages held there shortly after that.
Meanwhile, the Nobel Peace Prize is due to be awarded at
0900 GMT. Polymarket favours Venezuelan opposition leader María
Corina Machado, with a 70% probability. Donald Trump is on 3%.
Key developments that could influence markets on Friday:
Debt auctions:
UK: 1-month, 3-month and 6-month government debt auctions