A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Ankur Banerjee
In a well-telegraphed move, the Bank of Japan delivered what
investors had been waiting for - ending its negative interest
rate policy after eight years. The pivot marks the country's
first rate hike since 2007.
Not just that, the central bank abandoned yield curve
control, a policy in place since 2016 that capped long-term
interest rates around zero, and also said it would no long
purchase risky assets such as exchange-traded funds (ETF) and
Japanese real estate investment trusts.
And just like that, the era of cheap money has come to an
end and its impact across the globe, especially in the murkier
world of FX carry trades remains to be seen.
Several media reports over the past few weeks had indicated
the likelihood of these sweeping moves and that perhaps explains
the initial market reaction. Japanese shares were volatile and
then rose, while the yen slid to 150 per dollar.
BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda is due to speak at 0630 GMT to
further explain the move and the market will focus on the tone
to gauge whether the last dove in the developed market is ready
to tighten more.
The BOJ though has pledged to maintain accommodative policy
and traders expect rates to remain at zero for some time.
The Reserve Bank of Australia was the other central bank in
focus, after it decided to leave interest rates unchanged on
Tuesday. The decision was expected though the RBA further
watered down its tightening bias, leading the Australian dollar
lower.
That left the Aussie/yen cross, often a good measure of
investor desire for carry trades and global risk appetite in
general, little changed in Asian hours.
European bourses are due to open lower, futures indicate, as
traders await the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy decision on
Wednesday.
The central bank is widely expected to stand pat but the
focus will be on its economic projections and how many rate cuts
it estimates for the year.
Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:
Economic events: Wages in euro zone for Q4, euro zone labour
costs for Q4; Germany ZEW economic sentiment for March
(Editing by Jacqueline Wong)