A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Ankur Banerjee
With President-elect Donald Trump's Republican Party looking
likely to claim a majority in both chambers of Congress, the
so-called Trump trades are showing no signs of easing.
Bitcoin's blistering rally rages on as the world's best
known cryptocurrency scaled yet another record peak close
to $90K while the dollar rose to a four-month high against major
rivals.
Data provider DDHQ projected that the Republican Party had
won a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives. Edison
Research has not yet projected House control.
Republicans had already secured a U.S. Senate majority of at
least 52-46, Edison Research projected.
The control of both houses will provide the incoming
administration the tools to pass legislation and follow through
on fiscal policies, with investors anticipating tax cuts and
looser regulations.
Optimism around friendlier regulations and victories for
pro-crypto lawmakers into the Congress has sent cryptocurrencies
skyrocketing in the past week.
Lurking below the surface is the worry of tariffs being
implemented by the Trump administration, keeping stocks outside
the U.S., the euro, China's yuan and chip shares in general
under pressure.
Futures indicate the European bourses are due for a lower
open, while the euro remained rooted near its lowest
level since April. China's yuan skidded to a 3-1/2 month low
against the dollar on Tuesday.
Stocks in Asia were on the back foot mainly as tech-heavy
Taiwan and South Korea shares took a beating. Reuters reported
earlier in the week that the U.S. ordered Taiwan Semiconductor
Manufacturing Co ( TSM ) to halt shipments of advanced chips
to Chinese customers that are often used in AI applications.
Meanwhile, investors will focus on the macro side,
especially with U.S. inflation data due on Wednesday. Traders
have not fully priced in a 25 basis point cut from the Fed next
month but the data in the coming days will dictate the rate
path.
British labour data will likely sway the sterling, with the
pound trudging towards a three-month low. It was last
down 0.25% at $1.2838.
In the corporate world, AstraZeneca ( AZN ) results will
likely take the spotlight as investors will watch out for
comments on the drugmakers' issues in China.
AstraZeneca ( AZN ) said last week its China President Leon Wang had
been detained by Chinese authorities and, although it did not
know the reason, it did not believe it was linked to a large
health insurance fraud case involving the company.
Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:
Economic events: Germany CPI for October, UK labour data
Earnings: Bayer AG, AstraZeneca ( AZN ) and Vodafone
(By Ankur Banerjee; Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman)