A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Rocky Swift
A day after U.S. President Donald Trump re-emerged in the
Oval Office to dispel rumours about his health, Chinese
President Xi Jinping made a defiant show of strength at his
nation's largest ever military parade.
Trump returned from days of public absence to face court
challenges to his tariff policies, immigrant deportations, and
ability to fire any public official he pleases.
The optics were very different in Beijing, as Xi, Russia's
Vladimir Putin and North Korea's Kim Jong Un watched processions
of missiles, tanks and drones. Kim even followed the "bring your
daughter to work" tradition, showing off to the world his
potential successor and evidence that autocracies still have a
lot of life in them.
Away from geopolitics, bond markets are again sounding alarm
over mounting government deficits and debt piles. U.S. Treasury
yields ticked up in Asian trading and Japan's 30-year yields
reached an all-time high.
Sterling sank even lower after a 1.1% slide on Tuesday when
30-year gilt yields soared to the highest since
1998.
With stocks shaky and bonds looking perilous, you can always
count on gold. The precious metal hit an all-time high of
$3,546.99 in the Asian trading day.
On the data front, purchasing managers indexes (PMIs) for
the euro zone and Britain will lead the way, with July JOLTS
figures in the United States to follow as a prelude to key
nonfarm payrolls on Friday.
Markets are pricing in an 89% chance of a 25-basis-point
reduction in the Federal Reserve's key policy rate this month,
and weak labour data would increase the odds for more cuts.
Equity futures are pointing to openings in positive
territory in Europe, with the pan-region Euro Stoxx 50 contracts
up 0.34% at 5,317, German DAX futures gaining
0.3% to 23,609, and FTSE futures inching up 0.1% at
9,151.
And keeping on the positive theme, Trump sounded a
conciliatory note to Xi, posting on social media: "Please give
my warmest regards to Vladimir Putin and Kim Jong Un as you
conspire against the United States of America."
Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:
- PMIs for Britain, euro zone, Chicago
- Bank of England's Sarah Breeden and Catherine Mann speak
at separate events
- European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde speaks
- Euro zone PPI inflation (July)
- France: Reopening of 3-month, 4-month, 6-month and
11-month government debt auctions
- Germany: Reopening of 7-month, 2-year, 7-year and 10-year
government debt auctions
- Britain: - Reopening of 1-month, 3-month, 6-month and
3-year government debt auctions
- Federal Reserve officials scheduled to speak include St.
Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem and Minneapolis Fed
President Neel Kashkari
- U.S. data durable goods and JOLTS job openings for July
(Editing by Jacqueline Wong)