A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Tom
Westbrook
Markets have taken the one-month delay in tariffs on Canada
and Mexico as a signal that everything's negotiable. Even for
China.
Canada's Justin Trudeau and Mexico's Claudia Sheinbaum got
on the phone to Donald Trump on Monday and told him they had
agreed to bolster border enforcement efforts.
Sheinbaum won plaudits from political analysts for her
approach and investors seemed to relax - sort of.
Hong Kong shares touched a two-month high, led by
electric vehicle makers, as investors turned more hopeful that
China - hit by a 10% tariff - will end up cutting a deal.
The euro rebounded from a two-year low around
$1.01 back to $1.03 in one of its biggest round-trips in recent
years as fears of an imminent trade war seemed to subside.
Crypto traders bought the big dip in bitcoin and
ether.
Yet, the wild ride has left so many things unclear. As J.P.
Morgan's Michael Feroli points out, it has increased policy
uncertainty in a way that is hard to reverse.
European stock futures rose only 0.1% in Asia.
Focus in the session may also fall on numerous results
announcements spanning financials such as Amundi, UBS
and BNP Paribas, as well as on businesses
with exposure to tariffs such as Ferrari ( RACE ), Infineon
and Diageo ( DEO ).
Google parent Alphabet reports earnings after
market close in New York.
On China, Trump has said that tariffs "are going to go
substantially higher" unless it stops "sending us fentanyl".
China says it has already cracked down on the drug trade and
that fentanyl - a synthetic drug that is 50 times stronger than
heroin - is a problem for the U.S. to sort out.
Trump's press secretary has said he will speak with Chinese
President Xi Jinping in the next couple of days.
The outcome of that conversation, as well as how Beijing
handles its dollar exchange rate when Chinese markets return
from a week-long holiday on Wednesday, will be in focus.
Most expect the yuan's trading band fixing to be fairly
steady. After Monday's rollercoaster, the offshore yuan - at
around 7.31 per dollar - is still technically within the bounds
of where the onshore trading band closed last week.
It is not clear what sort of deal Europe could cut to avoid
tariffs that Trump has threatened.
Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:
- Earnings: Amundi, BNP Paribas, Dassault Systemes, Diageo ( DEO ),
Ferrari ( RACE ), Infineon Technologies, UBS, Alphabet