A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Tom
Westbrook
Chip stocks tanked across Asia on Tuesday, spooked by the
twin threats of rising Chinese competition and mounting
questions about the funding and longevity of the AI
infrastructure boom.
South Korea's KOSPI fell nearly 10% and tripped a
circuit breaker, and Japan's Nikkei fell 4.4%. Both
markets have done so well in the rally that they are still
year-to-date leaders, though they now scrape multi-month lows.
On Monday, Nvidia ( NVDA ) slid 5% on a Wall Street Journal
report that the chipmaker was in talks to provide roughly $250
billion in financing guarantees for an OpenAI data centre.
The report said the guarantee would not cover Nvidia ( NVDA ) chips
inside the centre, but that financing OpenAI chip purchases
worth up to $350 billion was also under discussion, throwing a
spotlight on the increasingly circular nature of AI build-out
spending.
Europe's chip champion was not spared either. ASML
slumped 8.5% after The Information reported that China has begun
producing domestically developed immersion deep ultraviolet
lithography machines, a critical chipmaking technology long
dominated by the Dutch group.
That development, coupled with the stellar debut of CXMT
Corp, has investors wondering whether China's
semiconductor industry is moving from catch-up mode to genuine
contender status. CXMT rocketed to the top of China's stock
market by valuation on Monday, fanning worries that dominant
chip makers may need to share the AI spoils more widely.
Reuters reported last week that Apple ( AAPL ) had sought U.S.
assurances that CXMT wouldn't be added to a trade blacklist.
Earnings at Apple ( AAPL ), Meta, Microsoft ( MSFT ) and
Amazon ( AMZN ) later this week will round out the picture on
hyperscaler spending plans.
Tumbling oil prices, meanwhile, were little salve for stocks
or even for bonds, which held steady through Tuesday's Asia
session even as crude futures extended losses.
Markets see a roughly 38% chance of a U.S. rate hike this
week.
Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:
Economics: France consumer confidence, U.S. consumer
confidence
Earnings: Mercedes-Benz, Barclays, Man Group,
EssilorLuxottica, Logitech, Rio Tinto, Kering, Ford, Mondelez,
Visa, NXP, Seagate, Coca-cola, UPS, Boeing
(Editing by Shri Navaratnam)