(Corrects punctuation in paragraph 5.)
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Ankur Banerjee:
A data heavy session, headlined by euro zone inflation
figures for April, awaits Europe in an action-packed week that
got off to a volatile start courtesy of the flailing yen.
The will-they-or-won't-they discussion has moved to
did-they-or-didn't-they a day after a suspected intervention by
Japanese authorities hauled the yen off 34-year lows.
A more than 10% decline against the dollar had traders
pondering not if but when Tokyo would intervene to prop up the
battered currency.
The answer it seems was at 160 per dollar, a level not seen
since April 1990 and briefly breached on Monday. The yen surged
to as high as 154.40 on Monday, with traders citing yen-buying
intervention. It was back around 157 on Tuesday.
The details are murky and perhaps the confirmation remains
some time away as Japan's top currency diplomat Masato Kanda
declined again on Tuesday to comment on whether the finance
ministry had intervened to prop up the yen a day earlier.
Kanda, however, said authorities were ready to deal with
foreign exchange matters "24 hours".
"Whether it's London, New York or Wellington, it doesn't
make a difference."
Ominous perhaps for the yen bears, who have piled on short
positions on yen at record levels, with the latest weekly data
from U.S. regulator showing speculators' largest net short yen
position since June 2007.
Tokyo's move may yet turn out to be futile, analysts say,
pointing to the wide yield differential between Japan and the
U.S. but as our Breakingviews colleagues argue perhaps there are
some merits to intervention.
Traders also await the Federal Reserve's policy decision,
due on Wednesday when the U.S. central bank is expected to keep
rates stead but take a hawkish stance after hotter than
anticipated inflation reports in March.
No such worries in Europe, with inflation for April expected
to stay steady at 2.4%, according to a Reuters poll. Markets now
price in 67 basis points of cuts from European Central Bank this
year, compared with 35 bps of easing expected from the Fed.
In a surprise piece of corporate news, HSBC ( HSBC ) said
its chief executive Noel Quinn will retire. Quinn overhauled the
bank in the past five years through a sweeping series of asset
sales across the globe.
Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:
Economic events: Euro zone inflation report for April,
German retail sales data for March, France March producer prices
Earnings: Volkswagen, Mercedes-Benz, Banco Santander,
Deutsche Lufthansa and Adidas
(By Ankur Banerjee. Editing by Sam Holmes.)