A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Vidya Ranganathan
A weekend election in Japan that has knocked the yen
down to three-month lows, a heavy U.S. corporate earnings
calendar, Britain's budget and the fast-approaching U.S.
election make for a week packed with excitement.
The yen is down and Japanese shares are up
after Japan's ruling coalition lost its parliamentary majority
in weekend elections, raising the spectre of drawn-out political
wrangling and more fiscal stimulus.
Markets are also betting politics will make the Bank of
Japan's job more difficult, with policy normalisation already
complicated by a fragile economy and unstable markets. It is
expected to stand pat at its meeting ending on Thursday.
Monday is thin on economic data releases but the week
ahead brings eurozone third-quarter GDP and inflation that may
validate the European Central Bank's dovishness.
Britain's new Labour government unveils its first budget
on Wednesday, and investors have sold UK stocks and gilts
already in the run-up, unsure how finance minister Rachel Reeves
can possibly balance high debt, public spending pledges and a
promise not to hike the income tax.
It's also peak earnings season on Wall Street. This week
will be the busiest of the quarter with well over 150 S&P 500
companies set to post third-quarter results.
Five of the "Magnificent Seven" U.S. titans report: Google
parent Alphabet on Oct. 29, Microsoft ( MSFT ) and
Facebook parent Meta Platforms ( META ) on Oct. 30, and Apple ( AAPL )
and Amazon ( AMZN ) on Oct. 31.
The run of market-sensitive events continues the following
week, with U.S. election Day on Nov. 5 and the Fed's next
monetary policy decision on Nov. 7, which could put investors
increasingly on edge in the coming days.
The U.S. jobs report on Nov. 1 is just as crucial to
investors debating if a stronger-than-expected economy could
lead to fewer interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve than
what is already priced in.
Key developments that could influence markets on Monday:
SPEAKERS: ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos speaks in
Madrid
EARNINGS: Koninklijke Philips NV