A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Gregor Stuart Hunter
Asian markets are crumbling and Brent Crude is bubbling
around $85 per barrel as U.S. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh prepares to
give testimony to Congress over the next two days. No pressure,
then.
Speaking before the U.S. House Financial Services Committee,
Warsh is likely to field questions on the central bank's plans
for its balance sheet. Hawkish commentsthis week by Fed Governor
Christopher Waller have boosted the market odds of more rate
hikes this year - perhaps as soon as later this month.
That prospect, combined with a third consecutive night of
strikes by the U.S. military against Iran and the possibility of
the U.S. imposing a 20% fee on cargo ships passing through the
Strait of Hormuz, roiled markets in Asia on Tuesday.
Brent futures climbed to their highest since mid-June,
while S&P 500 e-mini futures eased 0.2%.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was down 1.2%, led by declines for shares in
Taipei and Seoul.
Despite the ongoing bear market in South Korea - at one point on
Tuesday the Kospi had logged its worst two-day decline since the
start of the Iran war - it remains one of the world's
best-performing indexes this year.
In early European trades, pan-region futures were down
0.9%, German DAX futures fell 0.9% and FTSE futures
slid 0.4%.
Chinese stocks fared better than most after data showed exports
surged in June, buoyed by demand for chips and data centre
computing power to fuel the global AI boom.
Meanwhile in Tokyo, Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said Japan
may consider adjusting the strategy of the giant Government
Pension Investment Fund if the investment environment changes
sharply, several days after saying officials would seek ways to
encourage greater investments in domestic financial assets. She
gave few further details, however.
Elsewhere, as the Ebola outbreak intensifies, the Trump
administration on Monday said it was blocking American citizens
in the Democratic Republic of Congo from travelling back to the
U.S. on commercial flights, according to a White House official.
Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:
Company earnings:
JPMorgan Chase ( JPM ), Bank of America Corporation ( BAC ),
Goldman Sachs ( GS ), Wells Fargo ( WFC ), Citigroup
Economic data:
U.S.: June CPI and core inflation
Debt auctions:
Germany: 2-year government debt