A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Rae
Wee
Investors will have a full calendar of major releases to
digest on Wednesday, from bank and Big Tech earnings to a UK
budget, along with a U.S. private payrolls report and growth
figures for the U.S. and several big European economies.
As if that weren't enough, bitcoin is closing in on a
record high, the European Union has decided to increase tariffs
on China-built electric vehicles and the latest polls reinforce
that the U.S. presidential election is set to go down to the
wire.
European stocks were set for a negative opening ahead of the
various risk events likely to shape the day's market moves,
chief among them the first budget from Britain's Labour
government after 14 years of Conservative rule.
Traders have already sold UK stocks and gilts in the run-up,
unsure how finance minister Rachel Reeves can possibly balance
high debt, public spending pledges and a promise not to hike the
income tax.
Sterling held steady around the $1.30 level,
although options pricing reflected some degree of nervousness
over the budget outcome.
Investors will also have their eye on various earnings
releases later in the day, including Meta Platforms ( META ) and
Microsoft ( MSFT ), which are among the "Magnificent 7" of U.S.
megacaps.
Google parent Alphabet on Tuesday offered a
positive note with quarterly revenue that beat estimates.
The run of results - including Apple ( AAPL ) and Amazon.com ( AMZN )
numbers due on Thursday - will be crucial to
determining whether Wall Street can sustain the optimism around
technology and artificial intelligence that has lifted indexes
to record highs this year.
On the economic front, Wednesday's advance third-quarter
growth figures in the United States are likely to show that the
world's largest economy maintained a solid pace of growth, as
subsiding inflation and strong wage gains powered consumer
spending.
That is likely to contrast with the increasingly dour growth
outlook for the euro zone, which has flirted with recession for
more than a year now.
The euro is headed for a fall of nearly 3% against
the dollar in October, its worst monthly decline since May 2023.
In Asia, Chinese assets fell broadly on Wednesday, as
investors braced for a tightly contested U.S. election that
could have huge ramifications for China, even as Beijing tries
to shore up growth.
News that China is considering approving the issuance of
more than 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion) in extra debt in the
next few years was overshadowed by the prospect of hefty tariffs
in the event of a victory next week by Donald Trump, especially
if accompanied by a clean sweep in Congress for his Republican
party.
China's currency and equities will bear the brunt of a
protectionist shift in the U.S. and are likely to be sensitive
to any trade and foreign policy implications in news on the
election.
Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:
- UK budget
- Various earnings releases including: UBS Group AG,
Volkswagen AG, Airbus SE, Meta Platforms ( META ), Microsoft ( MSFT )
- France, Germany, Euro zone, U.S. preliminary GDP
- U.S. ADP National Employment Report