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MORNING BID EUROPE-Gold glitters while traders look to Powell
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MORNING BID EUROPE-Gold glitters while traders look to Powell
Mar 5, 2024 9:47 PM

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Tom

Westbrook

The upbeat tone that's pushed stocks higher for weeks

abruptly shifted overnight and left Asia markets drifting

downward on Wednesday, with traders nursing losses and awaiting

their next cues from Fed Chair Jerome Powell's testimony before

Congress.

Powell is expected to stick to his relatively hawkish script

and reinforce that policymakers aren't rushing to cut interest

rates.

A mixed bag of U.S. economic data on Tuesday - slower

services growth but a jump in new goods orders - further clouded

an already fuzzy picture for rate policy. And overnight surges

in gold and bitcoin to record peaks highlight a level of

discomfort with inflation and debt that is pushing investors

into assets with limited supply.

Central banks themselves seem to have turned gold bugs

lately, some burned by paper losses in their bond portfolios,

with ANZ analysts noting a near tripling of central banks' share

of world gold demand to 25-30%.

Spot gold flew as high as $2,141 an ounce on Tuesday

and traded around $2,124 in the Asia day on Wednesday. Bitcoin

broke above $69,000 before recoiling below $60,000.

Bank of America suggests that U.S. national debt rising by

$1 trillion every 100 days is driving investors into "debt

debasement" trades such as gold and bitcoin.

Around Asia, investors saw little in China's latest growth

and policy plans to provoke a shift in their caution over

exposure to what's been a laggard market for several years. Hong

Kong stocks ticked higher and mainland stocks ticked lower.

Data showed Australian economic growth slowed to a crawl in

the December quarter, reinforcing market bets that the next move

in interest rates down under will be lower.

Results from Republican presidential nominating contests in

a swathe of states showed Donald Trump brushing aside the

challenge from Nikki Haley and marching on to a rematch with Joe

Biden.

Euro zone January retail sales figures are also due, with

economists expecting a steady reading after a sharp fall in

December.

Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:

- Euro zone retail sales

- German trade balance

- Jerome Powell appears before Congress

- U.S. job openings

- Bank of Canada meeting

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