A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Tom
Westbrook
While U.S.-Iran talks have stalled, and next to no oil is making
its way through the Strait of Hormuz, stock markets' attention
has swung back to the unabated boom in AI.
Artificial intelligence supply chain stocks rallied markets
in Japan, South Korea and Taiwan to record highs on Monday on a
wave of buying unleashed by Intel's unexpectedly strong revenue
forecast.
With G10 central banks seen leaving rates where they are this
week and the uneasy ceasefire holding in the Middle East, the
focus is on the linchpin of AI gains -- the hyperscalers'
spending plans when they report earnings later this week.
Asia's chipmakers reported record-breaking earnings last week,
with quarterly profit up fivefold at SK Hynix and
Samsung projecting an eightfold jump to an operating
profit of nearly $38 billion for the three months from January
to March.
TSMC, which also posted a record first-quarter
profit, has logged eight straight quarters of double-digit
growth. Share prices can hardly keep up with the rivers of gold,
but they are surging too, with Hynix stock near doubling this
year and the market value of South Korean and Taiwanese stocks
eclipsing those of Germany, according to the World Federation of
Exchanges.
On the Iran front, an Axios report that Iran had proposed
conditions for reopening the Hormuz and separating nuclear
negotiations for another time, buoyed markets on Monday.
German consumer sentiment for May is due on
Monday and investors may start to adjust some of the aggressive
short-term rates positions betting on imminent hikes leading
into European and British central bank meetings.
Key developments that could influence markets on Monday:
- U.S.-Iran peace talks
- Economics: German consumer sentiment for May
- Earnings: Deutsche Boerse, Verizon, Domino's Pizza
(Editing by Kate Mayberry)