A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Ankur Banerjee
An indefinite ceasefire in the Middle East that may or may not
be agreed by all parties but is mostly expected by markets is
likely to leave April's risk momentum intact, allowing investors
to focus instead on corporate earnings and economic data.
U.S. President Donald Trump appeared to unilaterally
announce a ceasefire extension just hours before the current one
was due to expire, although it remains unclear whether Iran, or
U.S. ally Israel, have agreed - or even would agree - to the new
arrangement.
At the same time, Trump said he would continue blockading
Iran's ports and shores, meaning traffic through the Strait of
Hormuz is effectively at a standstill. That has left Brent crude
prices hovering near $100 a barrel.
Oil prices may have pulled back from March peaks on growing
optimism of a peace deal but as long as the waterway remains
closed, there is always the risk of elevated energy prices -
still above pre-war levels - and inflationary shock.
That brings us to the main economic data of the European day
with a British inflation report for March set to provide details
of the local impact of the war in the Middle East. It will
likely show inflation accelerated to 3.3% from 3% in February,
showed a Reuters poll of economist.
Earnings from U.S. chipmaker Texas Instrument and
Elon Musk's Tesla later in the global day will also be
crucial to understanding how companies are navigating the
upheaval in energy and supply chains.
While they've been grappling that, Musk's SpaceX has seen a
slew of developments this week as it barrels toward what could
be the largest initial public offering in history.
And so, with little in the way, share prices are likely to
hum higher, having already recouped all loss suffered in March.
U.S. stock futures were up 0.5% while European futures
pointed to a subdued open.
In Asia, the AI theme is back on, leading South Korean
and Taiwan stocks to record highs with South
Korean chipmaker SK Hynix now among the top 20 most
valuable companies in the world.
Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:
* UK CPI and PPI for March
* Euro zone consumer confidence flash for April