A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Rae
Wee
The highlight for the European day on Tuesday will be flash
euro zone inflation figures for May, which come ahead of an
expected rate cut from the European Central Bank (ECB) later in
the week.
Expectations are for consumer prices to have slowed to an
annual 2.0% last month after April's larger-than-expected 2.2%
rise, but what the reading means for the ECB's rate trajectory
will be the question on investors' minds.
The ECB is considered almost certain to cut its rates by a
quarter point to 2.0% on Thursday, but traders are
sensing a pause will then follow as the economy holds up better
than anticipated and longer-term inflation worries creep back.
U.S. tariff uncertainty, heightened further by ambiguity
over court rulings on the legality of the tariffs, makes the
backdrop challenging as the ECB weighs the impact to business
activity against implications for inflation further out.
And in more tariff news, the Trump administration wants
countries to provide their best offer on trade negotiations by
Wednesday, as officials seek to accelerate talks with multiple
partners ahead of a self-imposed deadline in just five weeks.
President Donald Trump's erratic trade policies continue to
cast a pall over markets, and the dollar fell anew to a six-week
low on Tuesday on signs of fragility in the U.S. economy.
Talks between Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping are
expected this week as trade tensions between the world's two
largest economies simmer. It remains to be seen whether it will
be a "beautiful" chat or if things could take a turn for the
worse.
Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:
- Euro zone flash CPI (May)
- U.S. Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report
(April)
- Fed's Goolsbee, Logan speak
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(Editing by Jacqueline Wong)