A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Stella Qiu
So, President Donald Trump said we may need to wait two
more weeks until he decides whether to launch a U.S. attack on
Iran. In the meantime, markets are mostly breathing a sigh of
relief but remain cautious over conflict in the Middle East.
Brent crude oil prices fell 2.5% on Friday, erasing some of
their recent gains but still on track for a 3.7% weekly rise, up
for a third straight week.
Falling oil prices appear to have given European stocks a
reason to cheer, with EUROSTOXX 50 futures rising 0.7%
and FTSE futures up 0.3%. Nasdaq futures and S&P
500 futures were both 0.2% lower.
Some analysts have pointed to Trump's two-week deadlines for
other key decisions, including in letters to U.S. trade partners
on tariff negotiations, and the hope is that Tehran in the
interim will be pressured to come to the negotiating table.
Stocks were mixed in Asia on Friday, with Japan and
Australia falling while China was higher. South Korea's share
benchmark outperformed with a jump of 1.1%, topping the
3,000 level for the first time since early 2022, after newly
elected President Lee Jae Myung announced a stimulus spending
plan.
The U.S. dollar was also on the back foot, although it is
set for a weekly gain of 0.5% on safe-haven flows spurred by the
Middle East conflict. Still, one week of gains would not reverse
the recent declining trend and many analysts expect the dollar's
losses have further to run.
China kept its benchmark lending rates unchanged on
Friday as widely expected while data from Japan showed core
inflation at a two-year high, keeping pressure on the Bank of
Japan to hike rates again. Investors, however, doubt that such a
move would come before December.
Overnight, a number of central banks in Europe sent out
dovish signals, including Norway's central bank which delivered
its first rate cut since 2020. The Swiss National Bank cut rates
to zero and did not rule out going negative, while the Bank of
England held policy steady but saw a need for further easing.
Key developments that could influence markets on Friday:
-- Germany PPI data for May
-- UK retail sales data for May
-- ECB releases its economic bulletin