A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Ankur Banerjee
The halt to the latest tit-for-tat attacks in the Middle
East spurred a twitchy reaction in markets as lingering unease
over stretched tech valuations and the prospect of
higher-for-longer rates compounded doubts about a ceasefire that
has struggled to hold.
Oil prices, which have given up nearly all their gains since
the U.S.-Iran war flared in late February, bounced on renewed
hostilities but softened as prospects for fresh talks raised
hopes of salvaging an interim deal.
That helped lift U.S. and European stock futures, though
Asian equities remained under pressure as investors fret over
stretched tech valuations and the drag from a stronger dollar.
Doubts that the AI-driven surge powering global stocks to
record highs is running out of steam have hit sentiment, as
investors question whether massive spending on AI infrastructure
will pay off.
While Micron's strong earnings forecast last week pointed to
insatiable demand for memory chips, Apple's price hikes
underscored the challenges facing firms as they pass on the
rising costs of chips on to customers.
The dollar remained perched near a one-year high, casting a
shadow on most other currencies but none more so than the
Japanese yen, which was at 161.78 per dollar. The only
thing keeping the fragile yen from breaking beyond 40-year lows
of 161.96 is the prospect of another round of intervention.
Japanese authorities stepped into the market to stem the
yen's decline in late April-early May but as in previous
episodes in 2022 and 2024, the intervention has failed to change
the yen's trajectory.
And with markets betting on a Federal Reserve rate hike this
year, the yen will need a drastic step from the Bank of Japan to
stage any real comeback.
Key developments that could influence markets on Monday:
Economic events: Euro zone sentiment surveys for June