A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Ankur Banerjee
Another day of dollar selling, albeit not an intense one,
while Treasury yields remain elevated, keeping investors jittery
as they watch for possible developments on U.S. trade deals and
worry about the fiscal health of the U.S. economy.
The safe haven yen and Swiss franc were
again the main beneficiaries, as well as the euro,
hitting their strongest levels in two weeks even though U.S.
Treasury yields were on the rise in Asian hours.
Rising Treasury yields usually underpin the dollar,
especially against the yen, but that correlation has been
weakening over the past month as U.S. President Donald Trump's
erratic trade manoeuvres upended global markets and shook
investor confidence in U.S. assets.
The spotlight during European trading hours will be on
annual earnings from retailer Marks & Spencer ( MAKSF ), which was
hit by a costly cyberattack a month ago, and on British
inflation data for April.
The attack on 141-year-old M&S has likely already cost it
more than 60 million pounds ($81 million) in lost profit,
according to analysts. Wednesday's report will offer details on
the attack, which prompted the retailer to suspend online
ordering.
Investors will also scour the inflation report, which may
influence the Bank of England's monetary policy, to gauge cost
pressures following upbeat British GDP data last week.
The BoE cut the bank rate by 25 basis points on May 8 and
traders are betting it will deliver another 25 basis-point cut
at its next meeting in June.
Economists polled by Reuters estimated that Britain's
consumer price index rose 3.3% in April, compared with the
previous month's 2.6% rise, mainly due to an increase in
regulated tariffs for household utility bills.
A Reuters poll of economists forecast that Britain's economy
will grow a bit faster this year than had been expected a month
ago, partly due to unexpectedly strong growth in the first
quarter.
Long-dated Japanese government bonds found little relief on
Wednesday after a poor auction result sent yields to record
levels in the previous session.
The steep selloff in bonds is a quandary for the Bank of
Japan, which is trying to taper its debt purchases and normalise
monetary policy. Rising long-term borrowing costs are also a
warning sign for the highly indebted Japanese government.
Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:
Economic events: UK inflation data for April
Earnings: JD Sports, Marks & Spencer ( MAKSF )
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($1 = 0.7448 pounds)