A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from

Kevin Buckland

With this much newsflow, it's hard for investors to know

where to look.

As a result, investors are gazing in several directions at

once - and it's creating a quite clean split between asset

classes.

Stock markets are rallying around Asia on Thursday, with

bourses from Taipei to Seoul and Sydney climbing to fresh

all-time peaks. In tech-heavy North Asian markets, that's due in

large part to the persistent AI euphoria that also drove the

Philadelphia SE semiconductor index - or SOX - up 3%

overnight.

The latest bullish signal came from Dutch semiconductor

equipment maker ASML, with third-quarter bookings

beating market forecasts on Wednesday. That's stoked

expectations for strong results from Taiwan's TSMC, a

major ASML customer, later today.

Moreover, the big banks have kicked off U.S. earnings season

with robust results that paint a broader picture of a resilient

U.S. economy. And those figures are garnering more attention

than usual in the absence of official macro data due to the

government shutdown.

At the same time, however, gold has been soaring to

ever-greater record heights, and the dollar is spiralling

lower, particularly against traditional safe havens the yen

and Swiss franc.

That's because, outside of equities, traders are antsy about

a flare-up in trade tensions between Washington and Beijing.

President Donald Trump declared they are "in a trade war" late

on Wednesday, even as his Treasury and trade chiefs offered some

hopes for de-escalation.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, for example, hinted at an

extension to tariff reprieves, and said Trump still expects to

meet Chinese leader Xi Jinping in South Korea this month,

although without offering a date.

Market tug-of-wars like this create an intrinsic tension,

and raise the risk of something - or several things - snapping

back.

European stock futures are currently pointing lower, so a

rebalancing could already be under way.

Key developments that could influence markets on Thursday:

-UK GDP estimate, services, industrial output,

manufacturing output (all August)

-Italy CPI (September)

-Euro area trade balance (August)