A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Rae
Wee
Quarterly earnings from AI darling Nvidia ( NVDA ) is
Wednesday's marquee event for markets, with much riding on the
chipmaker to deliver results that could placate investors who
are questioning hefty spending in artificial intelligence.
Investors have begun second-guessing U.S. tech giants since
Chinese startup DeepSeek rattled the industry with AI technology
ostensibly cheaper yet as capable as that of early leaders.
Market estimates have Nvidia's ( NVDA ) fourth-quarter sales at $38.5
billion and first-quarter guidance around $42.5 billion.
As usual, options point to a share price move of around 8%
in either direction should the results surprise.
"This earnings report isn't just about Nvidia ( NVDA )... It's about
whether the AI revolution can maintain its breakneck pace," said
Saxo's global head of investment strategy, Jacob Falkencrone.
Alleviating concern of DeepSeek triggering a slide in AI
chip demand, sources have told Reuters of Chinese companies
increasing orders for Nvidia's ( NVDA ) H20 chip due to booming demand
for low-cost AI models.
DeepSeek itself is accelerating the launch of the successor
to the R1 model that put the startup on the map last month,
three people familiar with the company told Reuters.
R2 is likely to worry the U.S. government which regards AI
leadership as a national priority.
That country's technology war with China is set to intensify
with the administration of President Donald Trump planning
tougher restrictions on semiconductor exports to China.
Trump has already signed a memorandum restricting Chinese
investment in the U.S. in strategic areas.
Over in China, a government official on Wednesday said
Taiwan sought to give the island's semiconductor industry to the
U.S. as a "souvenir" for use as leverage when seeking support
from Washington.
Still, investors seemed to have brushed off escalating
tension for now. The share prices of Hong Kong-listed companies
jumped 2.5% on Wednesday with technology stocks
surging 3.7%, having declined in the previous session.
Shares in mainland China similarly rose.
Elsewhere, U.S. Treasury yields rebounded from their weakest
level in months after the Republican-controlled U.S. House of
Representatives advanced Trump's $4.5 trillion tax-cut plan,
giving his 2025 priorities a major boost.
A darkening economic outlook continued to linger in investor
minds as they increased bets of more interest rate cuts this
year from the Federal Reserve.
Fed funds futures point to more than 50 basis points worth
of easing priced in by year-end, up from about 40 bps a week
ago. That in turn undermined the dollar on Wednesday.
Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:
* Nvidia ( NVDA ) earnings
* Federal Reserve's Tom Barkin, Raphael Bostic speak