A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Stella Qiu
It is a sea of red in Asia as AI darling Nvidia ( NVDA ) failed to
meet expectations of investors who were not satisfied with its
profits, revenue and outlook simply beating the Street.
Nvidia ( NVDA ) shares have rallied more than 150% this year thanks
to insatiable demand for generative artificial intelligence
(AI), so the 7% drop in its shares after-hours could turn out to
be just another dip to buy into the world's second-most valuable
company.
However, with valuations sky high, it is probably time for
some caution. Taiwan-listed shares of chipmaker TSMC
slid 2%, Nasdaq futures dropped 0.7%, and Europe is set
for a lower open, with EUROSTOXX 50 futures off 0.2%.
Next up, Germany and Spain will publish their
preliminary inflation readings for August later in the day. And
a few European Central Bank officials will be taking part in
some panel discussions.
Headline inflation is expected to slow to 2.3% for Germany
and 2.5% for Spain. Any downward surprises there will feed into
the eurozone inflation reading due on Friday and add to the case
of consecutive policy easings from the ECB for the rest of the
year.
Swaps imply a cut in September is a done deal, but they are
less sure about the chance of a move in October and December,
pricing in just about 60 basis points of easing by the year end.
The often volatile U.S. jobless claims report, due later in
the day, has also gained prominence after Federal Reserve Chair
Jerome Powell declared policymakers do not wish to see further
weakening in the labour market.
Elsewhere, currency markets were mostly steady in the
Asia session. The kiwi dollar rose 0.6% to a fresh 2024
high of $0.6281 after a local survey showed a huge turnaround in
business activity fuelled by a rate cut from the Reserve Bank of
New Zealand.
U.S. Treasury yields were also quiet, although the inverted
curve between two- and 10-years came within a whisker of turning
positive. That would be the first time since July 2022, barring
the brief un-inverting during the Japanese market crash earlier
this month.
Two-year yields held at 3.8671%, just 3 basis points higher
than 10-year yields.
Key developments that could influence markets on Thursday:
- Spain, Germany preliminary CPI for August
- U.S. weekly jobless claims
- Panel participation from ECB chief economist Philip R.
Lane
- ECB deputy governors Aino Bunge and Olli Rehn take part in
panel discussions
- Final U.S. Q2 GDP reading
(Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman)