A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Rae
Wee
Flash Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) figures in the euro
zone, the UK and the United States take centre stage on
Thursday, and investors will be on the lookout for whether the
global growth narrative is showing signs of change.
Strategists at S&P Global Market Intelligence noted that
after the composite PMI in the United States came in below its
euro zone and UK counterparts last month, May's flash PMI
numbers will be eagerly awaited to "gauge whether global growth
momentum has shifted" from the U.S. to Europe.
Part of that shift could get some momentum on expectations
that the Bank of England (BoE) and the European Central
Bank(ECB) are likely to cut rates next month, while an easing
cycle in the United States is meanwhile still some time away.
Bets for an imminent rate cut by the Federal Reserve were
again pared after minutes of the central bank's latest policy
meeting came in more hawkish than expected, breathing new life
into the dollar and keeping U.S. Treasury yields elevated.
Patience on rates has reemerged as a theme across central
banks globally, with New Zealand's central bank governor Adrian
Orr on Thursday expressing disappointment over stubborn domestic
inflation.
In other news, Taiwan's military mobilised its forces and
said it was confident it could protect the island, after China
started two days of "punishment" drills around Taiwan on
Thursday in what it said was a response to "separatist acts".
That kept a lid on risk sentiment in Asia hours, though
Taiwan's stock market seemed to prefer the positive news
from AI darling Nvidia's ( NVDA ) revenue forecasts and surged
to a record high.
Key developments that could influence markets on Thursday:
- Euro zone flash composite PMI (May)
- UK flash composite PMI (May)
- U.S. flash composite PMI (May)