A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Ankur Banerjee
It was a risk-on session in Asia, with European bourses
poised for a similar start in the wake of comments by Fed Chair
Powell, with investors buoyed by reinforced expectations that
rate cuts are just around the corner in the U.S.
The fallout of the French election will remain in the
spotlight as opponents of France's National Rally stepped up
their bid to block the far-right party from power in Sunday's
run-off election.
The euro, which lurched to a two-week high on
Monday after RN did not score an outright majority, was steady
at $1.074475, while futures indicated the pan-European STOXX 600
index could move away from the two-month low it touched
on Tuesday.
Powell stating that the U.S. is back on a "disinflationary
path" was enough to put the dollar on the defensive, with
Treasury yields lower even though he cautioned that more data is
needed before policymakers could consider cutting rates.
""We just want to understand that the levels that we're
seeing are a true reading on what is actually happening with
underlying inflation," Powell said at a conference in Portugal
sponsored by the European Central Bank.
So, the Fed is still data-dependent, making the next few
inflation readings crucial in dictating where U.S. rates are
headed by the end of the year. Traders are clinging to as much
as two rate cuts this year from the Fed.
Minutes from the Fed's June meeting are due later in the day
and could offer clues on the central bank's thinking on U.S.
rates.
Meanwhile, the ECB remains in no hurry to lower borrowing
costs further after cutting rates last month, with data on
Tuesday showing the crucial services component in euro zone
inflation staying stubbornly high.
The ECB's Christine Lagarde and Philip Lane are due to take
the stage in Portugal and may have comments that could swing the
markets on rate expectations. Traders are currently pricing in
43 basis points of cuts this year from the ECB.
In corporate news, Tesla reported on Tuesday a
smaller-than-expected 5% drop in vehicle deliveries in the
second quarter, as the electric car maker's price cuts and
incentives helped mitigate cooling demand. Although EV makers,
not just Tesla, still face a bumpy road ahead.
Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:
Economic events: June PMI for France, German, UK and euro
zone
Speakers: Fed's John Williams, ECB's Christine Lagarde and
Philip Lane at ECB forum in Portugal
(By Ankur Banerjee in Singapore; Editing by Muralikumar
Anantharaman)