A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Ankur Banerjee
Investors are wearing their risk-on hats ahead of the
weekend as renewed hopes of monetary easing take hold, a day
after the Bank of England opened the door to rate cuts, taking
London stocks to record highs and weighing on the sterling.
Key economic data, including first quarter GDP figures for
the UK, will likely sway the markets on Friday.
Britain's FTSE 100 has risen more than 8% so far this year,
more than double its 3.8% gain in 2023 and the blue-chip index
will aim to clock a sixth straight session of gains, a
run not seen since August.
The pound slid to over a two-week low after BOE's
move but steadied at $1.2517 in Asian hours. The currency is
down 1.6% this year against the dollar.
The BOE paved the way on Thursday for the start of interest
rate cuts as soon as next month and Governor Andrew Bailey said
there could be more reductions than investors expect.
Money market traders still see around a 45% chance of a rate
cut at next month's policy meeting, while around 58 basis points
of easing is priced by year end.
That's in stark contrast to U.S. rates with markets not
expecting the Fed to move until at least November and are
pricing in 45 bps of cuts this year.
However, the latest data showed signs of easing jobs market,
boosting some expectations around rate cuts this year.
Meanwhile, yen wobbles continue with the currency was last
at 155.70 per dollar, with Japanese officials reiterating that
they'll take appropriate actions when needed.
The more things change, the more they stay the same.
Bank of Japan data suggests Tokyo spent an estimated $60
billion to pull the frail yen off the 34 year low of 164.245
last week. Tokyo has not confirmed whether it intervened in the
market last week.
In company news, the focus will be on the fallout of Spanish
bank BBVA launching a hostile 12.23 billion euro
($13.1 billion) all-share takeover bid for Sabadell
that triggered immediate government opposition.
Hostile takeovers are rare in European banking and can end
up embroiled in months of negotiations as politicians weigh in
and regulators worry about potential instability.
Elsewhere, Apple ( AAPL ) apologised after an advertisement
for its latest iPad Pro model sparked criticism by showing an
animation of musical instruments and other symbols of creativity
being crushed, according to Ad Age magazine.
Key developments that could influence markets on Friday:
Economic events: UK prelim Q1 GDP, UK industrial March
output and UK business investment