A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Tom
Westbrook
The longest U.S. government shutdown on record looks to be
nearly over, and traders are riding the tail end of a wave of
relief that began late last week.
The Senate approved a compromise that would restore U.S.
government funding. It next heads to the House, where Speaker
Mike Johnson has said he would like to pass it as soon as
Wednesday and send it on to President Donald Trump to sign into
law.
Gold and the Nasdaq have logged their best
gains in months, with gold in particular attempting to recover
the momentum that shot it to record highs in October with an
added boost from bets on future U.S. interest rate cuts.
Asian share markets were mostly steady or a little higher
through Tuesday and the risk-on mood pushed the safe-haven yen
to a nine-month low.
The U.S. bond market is closed on Tuesday for a holiday, but
long bonds have been sold and shorter ones were steadier,
reflecting markets' shift out of riskier assets as well as an
expectation that the resumption of U.S. data publication builds
a case for rate cuts.
Elsewhere, Japanese tech investor SoftBank Group is
about to report second-quarter earnings in the midst of feverish
investment in artificial intelligence that has sent its share
price soaring.
Sony ( SONY ) raised its operating profit forecast for the
year ending March 2026 by 8%, citing a smaller impact from U.S.
tariffs and the strength of its music and chips businesses.
In Australia, shares in one of the world's most expensive
banks, Commonwealth Bank, fell nearly 5% after the
country's biggest lender said competition was cutting margins.
In China, Tuesday is Singles Day and the culmination of what
has evolved into a weeks-long shopping bonanza. Last year, 1.44
trillion yuan ($202 billion) of goods were sold during the
period. That's almost five times the $41.1 billion U.S. shoppers
spent last year during Cyber Week, the period from Black Friday
to Cyber Monday.
Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:
- Earnings from SoftBank, Vodafone ( VOD ) and Munich Re
- German ZEW survey, British weekly employment data