August 5 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in European and
global markets from Wayne Cole.
Asian markets have followed through on Wall Street's record
close with gains in the major semiconductor stocks, ignoring
setbacks in SpaceX and AMD as they failed to meet sky-high
expectations.
The Kospi added 4.0%, though by recent standards
that was almost tame, led by SK Hynix and Samsung. In a sign of
intensifying competition in the memory sector, Reuters reported
the tech giants are evaluating chipmaking equipment from China's
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment (AMEC) for possible use at
their Chinese factories.
That could be bad news for Applied Materials and Lam
Research, which currently provide etching tools from the United
States but face the growing risk of tighter export restrictions.
SpaceX's troubles seem to be cash flow, or rather the lack
of it. While revenue jumped to a record $7.8 billion, capex
climbed above $18 billion, with almost $16 billion of that on AI
alone. Analysts feared the company was burning through cash at
such a ferocious rate it would have to come back to the market
for more funding, through shares and/or debt.
Its bonds have taken a beating in recent weeks and there's a
small matter of 911.5 million insider and employee shares that
will be free for possible sale on Thursday. SpaceX's stock was
down 7.5% after hours, wiping out most of a 9.4% gain made in
regular trading.
Similarly, AMD shed 8.8% after hours as its sales and
outlook topped the Street, but seemingly not by enough to
justify the 142% gain its shares have made so far this year.
Another big move was oil, with Brent down another 1.5% or so
at $78.24 a barrel and a world away from June's lofty peak of
$102. The retreat eased pressure on bonds, nudging 10-year
Treasury yields down to 5.60%, while markets pared back Fed
tightening bets, with the implied odds of a September hike
slipping to 57% from 67%.
Qatar said on Tuesday mediators were making progress in
efforts to end the U.S.-Iran war, though details were hard to
find and Tehran won't even confirm it is in the talks.
Analysts say reports on ship tracking suggest oil flows out
of the Gulf were higher than expected and investors feared the
market could quickly switch to oversupply should the Strait of
Hormuz open even moderately.
Looking ahead, earnings reports in Europe include Siemens
Energy, Infineon, Heineken, Novo Nordisk and a batch of banks.
U.S. results include DoorDash, eBay, Uber, Eli Lilly, Honeywell,
Kraft Heinz, SanDisk, Western Digital and Walt Disney.
Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:
- Federal Reserve Board Governor Lisa Cook speaks
- Data include EU S&P service PMIs for July, EU producer
prices for June, US ISM services, S&P services PMI, ADP
employment for July