A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Friday
The prospects for both big fiscal spending and continued
monetary easing in the world's biggest economy make for a
powerful cocktail, emboldening global stocks to end on a high
note after a wild week.
Wall Street goes into Friday at record peaks, helping to
pull MSCI's gauge of global equities to an all-time high with a
3.3% weekly advance.
Even a market you might expect to be languishing under the
weight of Donald Trump's proposed tariffs - China - is doing
nothing of the sort. Chinese blue chips are up close to 6% this
week, with more than half of that coming on Thursday, perhaps on
expectations of a Beijing stimulus bazooka to counter the impact
of any trade war.
But markets have repeatedly been let down in recent weeks
after bubbling up in anticipation of bold Chinese stimulus
measures.
The Standing Committee of China's National People's Congress
wraps up its week-long session in the Beijing evening with a
news conference that could pump up - or pop - expectations.
Stock futures are pointing about 0.2% higher for Britain's
FTSE and Germany's DAX right now, but Europe faces challenges,
not least from the threat of blanket tariffs under Trump.
The FTSE has sagged this week, particularly on Thursday
after the Bank of England signalled the risk of higher
inflation, slowing the likely pace of interest rate cuts.
Germany looks closer to a snap election, after Chancellor
Olaf Scholz's approach to the leader of the opposition
conservatives, Friedrich Merz, was not only rebuffed, but had
Merz calling for an immediate vote of no confidence.
Scholz's awkward three-way coalition fell apart on Wednesday
after he sacked finance minister Christian Lindner of the
fiscally conservative Free Democrats at the culmination of
long-running budget disputes.
Any signs of resolution would be welcomed by investors, who
sent one measure of debt risk to a record level on Thursday.
Key developments that could influence markets on Friday:
- China NPC Standing Committee readout
- Italy, Sweden industrial production (both Sep)
- Greece CPI (Oct)