A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Rae
Wee
Just as the word was slowly fading away from the memories of
investors, it has been foisted upon them again. Asian share
markets slumped on Friday after U.S. President Donald Trump made
his latest tariff salvo, and attention now turns to Europe.
Trump on Thursday unveiled punishing tariffs on a broad
range of imported goods, including 100% duties on branded drugs
and 25% tariffs on heavy-duty trucks, set to take effect from
October 1.
He also said he would start charging a 50% tariff on kitchen
cabinets and bathroom vanities and a 30% tariff on upholstered
furniture.
It remains unclear if the new levies would apply on top of
national tariffs or whether economies with trade deals such as
the European Union would be exempted.
The Trump administration's trade deals with Japan, the EU,
and the United Kingdom include provisions that cap tariffs for
specific products such as autos, semiconductors and
pharmaceuticals, which means the new higher national security
tariffs likely won't raise them above agreed rates.
Global drugmakers have also preemptively scrambled to shore
up their U.S. manufacturing capacity and domestic inventory.
The new 100% tariff on any branded or patented
pharmaceutical product will apply to all imports unless the
company has already broken ground on building a manufacturing
plant in the United States, said the president.
He also said companies such as Paccar ( PCAR )-owned
Peterbilt and Kenworth and Daimler Truck-owned
Freightliner could benefit from the tariffs on heavy-duty
trucks.
The reaction in Asia has been a heavy selloff in drugmakers
across the region, while an index tracking Chinese-listed
furniture makers slid more than 1%.
As it is, global equities had already been struggling on the
back of receding U.S. rate cut expectations after a slew of data
on Thursday underscored resilience in the world's largest
economy.
That threw into question the need for more aggressive policy
easing by the Federal Reserve, with traders moving quickly to
scale back bets of future rate cuts.
Markets are now pricing in just about 39 basis points worth
of easing by December this year, compared to more than 40 bps
earlier this week.
Fed policymakers have largely signalled restraint in cutting
rates further, citing concerns that tariffs could push inflation
up.
But the central bank's newest policymaker, Stephen Miran,
continued on Thursday to press for sharp U.S. interest-rate cuts
to prevent a labour market collapse.
Investors will get a better read on the U.S. economy later
on Friday with the release of the PCE data, where expectations
are for the core PCE price index to have risen 0.2% in August,
compared with July's 0.3% increase.
Key developments that could influence markets on Friday:
- US PCE data (August)
- Fed's Barkin, Bowman speak
(Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman)