A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Ankur Banerjee
Investors are breathing a sigh of relief for now as the
roadmap for Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs suggested room for
negotiations, while results from luxury firm Hermes will be the
main event rounding out a series of strong earnings in Europe.
Asian markets also took their cues from Wall Street's
positive reaction to U.S. inflation data, which suggested that
prices remain consistent with the Federal Reserve's target
range, while Chinese tech shares extended their rally
after home-grown start-up DeepSeek's breakthrough last month.
Hong Kong's benchmark index was perched near a
four-month high and on course for its best week since September.
It's also on a five-week winning streak, the longest since 2022.
The Hang Seng's 11% rise so far this year has made it easily
the best performing major stock market in Asia and is among the
top globally. Germany's DAX index is leading the way
with a 14% gain this year, hitting a record high on Thursday.
Swiss, French and Spanish benchmarks
are not far behind, having clocked double-digit gains so far in
2025.
In corporate news, earnings from Hermes will take
the spotlight in Europe, where investors are keen to learn
whether the Birkin bag maker remains best-placed to weather a
downturn in the luxury sector, given its wealthier customer
base.
Luxury goods companies have been grappling with their
slowest sales in years, as consumers in China tighten their
belts, although upbeat results from Burberry ( BBRYF ), Cartier
owner Richemont and others have fuelled hopes the sector
is starting the year on firmer ground.
Traders in Europe may lock in profits after a strong run
this week, with the pan-European STOXX 600 index
closing at a record high every day this week and up almost 10%
year-to-date. Futures point to a lower open for European stock
markets.
For investors, the focus will be on the tariff saga after a
directive from Trump stopped short of imposing fresh duties, and
instead kicked off what could be weeks or months of
investigation into levies imposed on U.S. goods.
And finally, a valentine's day gift for TikTok fans in the
United States as the popular short-video app returned to the app
stores of Apple and Google.
Key developments that could influence markets on Friday:
- Euro zone Q4 GDP and employment data
- Hermes annual results