A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Rae
Wee
Traders in Europe will be waking up to a nervy currency
market after the yen's sharp reversal from its slide past 160
per dollar on Monday had some speculating Tokyo could be behind
the move while the country was out on a holiday.
The jump in the yen - which took it to a session-high of
156.55 per dollar - came just a few hours after it slid to the
weaker side of 160 per dollar for the first time since 1990,
marking a fresh 34-year low.
Some said the rapid strengthening of the yen smelt like
intervention, but markets will have to wait till Tuesday for any
signals from authorities.
While Japanese authorities had constantly insisted they
aren't targeting any specific levels but rather the pace of the
yen's decline, the Liberal Democratic Party's Takao Ochi said
last week that the 160 level could be it.
Also, if the currency's 5% slide this month has yet to raise
any alarms, then it's unclear what would.
Elsewhere, Germany's preliminary inflation figures for April
are also due later in the day, which could provide a good
snapshot of what to expect when the wider bloc releases its
inflation and economic growth data on Tuesday.
That could strengthen market bets for the European Central
Bank to kick off its rate-easing cycle in June, though
policymakers aren't expected to move very fast thereafter.
Still, the main highlight for the week remains the Federal
Reserve's two-day policy meeting ending Wednesday, where all
eyes will be on what Fed Chair Jerome Powell says with regard to
the central bank's rate outlook.
Much has changed since its last meeting in March, and a
hawkish tone from Powell is pretty much a given with the slew of
solid economic data the U.S. has had in recent times.
While market pricing shows that a September rate cut is
still on the cards, even that is gradually starting to pare
back, based on the CME FedWatch tool.
In the world of electric vehicles, Tesla CEO Elon
Musk arrived in Beijing on Sunday on an unannounced visit, where
he was expected to discuss the rollout of Full Self-Driving
software and permission to transfer data overseas.
His visit came just over a week after he scrapped a planned
trip to India, raising concerns that its expansion plans in the
South Asian country may be put on hold.
Key developments that could influence markets on Monday:
- Germany preliminary CPI (April)
- Euro zone business climate (April)
- Euro zone economic sentiment (April)
(Editing by Jacqueline Wong)