A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Kevin Buckland
Threats of fresh tariffs under a second Trump administration
continue to unnerve Asian investors, with Japan again - not
China - feeling the biggest effect.
There's already the added weight of a stronger yen
, which does not help exports. The currency has been
among the few to strengthen against the dollar since
mid-November.
The underperformance of automaker shares, in particular,
also point to concerns about Mexican factories reminiscent of
2017.
China investors, meanwhile, seem both relieved that the
threat of additional 10% tariffs on Chinese goods isn't the 60%
levy Trump campaigned on, while also trusting Beijing to ramp up
stimulus to cope with any hit to trade.
Although the yuan, Mexican peso and loonie
are still hovering near multi-month or multi-year
lows, the market consensus 24 hours later is that the tariff
threats are likely a bargaining tactic and may not materialise
come January.
Trump's strategy is focused primarily on deal-making.
The Fed is in the spotlight again, with the central bank's
preferred inflation gauge due for release. Minutes from this
month's meeting on Tuesday suggested a cautious approach to rate
cuts.
Meanwhile, thin trading will get even thinner as Thursday
marks the start of a four-day Thanksgiving weekend for many in
the United States.
European stock futures are flat for the UK FTSE and
pointing lower for Germany's DAX and the pan-regional
STOXX 50. Sterling and the euro have
been oscillating in narrow ranges either side of flat against
the dollar.
Britain's minor trade surplus with the United States
potentially makes it better positioned than Europe, which Trump
has said will "pay a big price" for not buying enough American
cars and farm produce.
On the economic calendar today, Germany and France have
consumer sentiment readings.
ECB board member Philip Lane gives introductory comments at
a conference in Frankfurt, while Riksbank Deputy Governor Per
Jansson gives a talk in Stockholm.
Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:
- Germany Gfk consumer sentiment, France consumer confidence
- ECB's Lane, Riksbank's Jansson speak
- US PCE price index (Oct)
(Editing by Jacqueline Wong)