A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Stella Qiu
It could be the most expensive breakup ever.
The bromance-turned-to-brawl between U.S. President Donald
Trump and billionaire Elon Musk sparked a 14% drop in Tesla
shares overnight, wiping out $150 billion in market value. Then
there's the tens of billions of dollars in SpaceX government
contracts that Trump has threatened to cut.
High-stakes political drama aside, investors have not
lost sight of the U.S. payrolls report looming later in the day,
after a run of soft economic data this week left markets wary of
a downside surprise.
Any unexpected weakness in the U.S. labour market could
be enough to get the Federal Reserve's policy-makers thinking
again about rate cuts, after sitting on their hands since
December to assess the inflationary impact of Trump's tariffs.
The Trump-Musk feud was not without wider consequences
for markets, though. Even bitcoin prices tumbled 4%
overnight as investors reckoned Trump's support should perhaps
not be counted on indefinitely.
Asian technology shares followed Wall Street lower, helping
to nudge most of the region's stock markets into negative
territory. Japan's Nikkei was an exception, rising 0.3%.
There were signs in the Asia morning on Friday that tempers
may be cooling down a bit, with Trump telling Politico that
"it's okay" when asked about the breakup and Tesla stocks
steadying in after-hours trading.
In the meantime, investors found little reason to cheer the
phone call on trade between Trump and Chinese President Xi
Jinping, which produced little more than an agreement to talk
further.
As for the U.S. payrolls, forecasts are centred on a rise of
130,000 jobs in May, with the unemployment rate holding steady
at 4.2%.
Fed funds futures imply little chance of a rate cut
until September, although a move at that time is about 90%
priced in with another expected in December.
Worries of a downside surprise on payrolls kept markets
subdued. Wall Street futures were mostly flat and
European markets are set for a lower open, with EUROSTOXX 50
futures down 0.2%.
In the currency markets, the euro rose to a
six-week high of $1.1495 overnight after the European Central
Bank cut rates but signalled it was nearing the end of its
policy easing cycle. Investors have given up on the chances of a
cut in July, while the final move is expected in December.
Key developments that could influence markets on Friday:
-- German industrial output, trade data for April
-- Eurozone retail sales for April
-- U.S. nonfarm payrolls for May