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A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Stella Qiu
President Donald Trump's greatest TACO of all time, peace with
Iran, has stock markets once again hitting record highs, driven
by everything chip-related, like the Fed has never warned about
rate hikes.
With half of Asian markets shut for holidays and the U.S.
celebrating Juneteenth on Friday, Japan and South Korea happily
extended the momentum to new heights before paring those gains
as the day wore on. The Nikkei was still on track for a 7.6%
weekly gain while the KOSPI rallied a whopping 11%.
European markets, with less AI exposure, were bracing for a
lower open, with pan-region futures off 0.5%.
There is genuine relief that tankers are finally moving through
the Strait of Hormuz - three Saudi-flagged vessels laden with
crude have sailed through the strait, but it was unclear when
supply would rebound to pre-war levels.
Brent crude slumped 9% this week to $79.42 a barrel,
about where it was on March 3, and down 37% from its peak in
late April, a relief for global central banks.
The holidays do make one wonder if it's the perfect time for
Tokyo to stage a sneaky yen intervention. With the U.S. dollar
basking in its own rate-hike glow, the yen has been crushed to
161.3 a dollar, well past the supposed 160 line in the sand. The
Bank of Japan's rate hike to 31-year highs might as well not
have happened.
In Britain, Labour mayor Andy Burnham's new parliamentary seat
set up a potential challenge to oust British Prime Minister Keir
Starmer. Sterling barely blinked but the Gilt market may have a
more dramatic reaction when it opens.
Key developments that could influence markets on Friday:
-- German PPI for May
-- UK retail sales for May
-- Appearances by ECB board members Philip Lane, Piero
Cipollone, Frank Elderson in Paris