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MORNING BID EUROPE-With a hiatus in the trade war, it is back to the grind
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MORNING BID EUROPE-With a hiatus in the trade war, it is back to the grind
May 26, 2025 6:26 AM

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from

Rocky Swift

With markets given another reprieve from a global trade war,

attention refocuses on more quotidian cues, like economic data

and corporate earnings.

Six weeks into the turmoil spurred by U.S. President Donald

Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs, the recurring lessons seem to

be: wait for the details and buy the dip.

The China and U.S. rapprochement, resulting in a suspension

of the worst tariffs between the world's two biggest economies

for 90 days, was better than expected, and reverberated in Asian

equity markets with strong gains in Japan after a rally in the

United States.

And while a Trump social media post on Sunday about high

U.S. drug prices caused a massive selloff in Japanese pharma

shares on Monday, the actual executive order puts the bullseye

more on cheaper drugs overseas, prompting a bounce back in

healthcare stocks on the Nikkei.

Keep an eye on the European pharma stock index,

which has outperformed the broader index so far this

year.

Trump's

comments about a pricey "fat shot drug", presumably speaking

of injectable obesity treatments from Novo Nordisk

and Eli Lilly ( LLY ), could mean pressure for cost cuts in the

U.S. or increases in Europe.

Or both. Comments from Bayer AG after

first-quarter results today may give a read on how the German

healthcare giant plans to navigate the uncertain road ahead.

The U.S. dollar was slightly weaker in Asia, but still held

most of its gains against the yen, euro and Swiss franc after

the trade truce was announced.

The policy whipsaw and doubt about what lies after the next

three months remain as drags on investment sentiment. Equity

futures point to a muted open in Europe and a backslide in the

U.S.

Analysts are expecting to see a recovery in German investor

sentiment when the ZEW economic research institute releases its

data for May today, after tariff concerns sent morale to the

lowest since the start of the Ukraine war.

In the U.S., Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures will provide

a signal about the timing of potential rate cuts by the U.S.

Federal Reserve. Traders are pricing in 57 basis points of cuts

this year, down from over 100 basis points in mid-April.

Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:

- UK employment (March)

- BoE Governor Andrew Bailey, chief economist Huw Pill speak

at separate events

- Germany ZEW business sentiment (May)

- U.S. CPI inflation (April)

- U.S. earnings: Under Armour ( UAA ), Venture Global ( VG )

- European earnings: Bayer, On Holding

Trying to keep up with the latest tariff news?

Our new daily news digest offers a rundown of the top

market-moving headlines impacting global trade. Sign up for

Tariff Watch here.

(Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman)

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