A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Kevin Buckland
A gradual tick lower in currency markets would not normally
ruffle many feathers, but the yen's tentative foray to the cusp
of 152 per dollar for the first time since 1990 was enough to
draw immediate warnings from Japan's finance minister of
"decisive steps" to tame "disorderly" moves.
The last time he used those words was before the central
bank intervened in late 2022 to prop up the yen.
The trigger for the yen's slight depreciation was likely
comments from Bank of Japan board member Naoki Tamura, who
advocated moving "slowly but steadily toward policy
normalisation" - emphasis on the slowly - following the central
bank's first rate hike since 2007 made last week.
Several other central bankers take to the podium during the
day, and Sweden's Riksbank announces a policy decision, meaning
more market-jarring commentary from policymakers can't be ruled
out.
The Riksbank is widely expected to hold rates steady at this
meeting, but traders will be hoping for hints on whether a cut
is coming in June, or even earlier.
Federal Reserve Board Governor Christopher Waller speaks on
the economic outlook at an Economic Club of New York reception.
European Central Bank board member Piero Cipollone gives a
speech on monetary policy followed by Q&A at the House of the
Euro in Brussels.
And Swiss National Bank Vice Chairman Martin Schlegel speaks
on where next for policy, after the monetary authority surprised
with a rate cut last week.
Meanwhile, stock markets continued to display the choppy,
directionless trade that the end of a quarter tends to bring -
particularly when it finishes with a key U.S. inflation reading
and a speech from the Fed chief on Good Friday, when most
markets are closed for holidays.
A tick up in U.S. stock futures may be the most accurate
indicator for European equity direction, with Asian markets
polarized by a rising Nikkei and falling Chinese indexes.
Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:
-Riksbank policy decision
-France consumer confidence (March), unemployment (Feb)
-Spain CPI (March), retail sales (Feb)