financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
Morning Bid: Global inflation relief lifts bond yield gloom
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Morning Bid: Global inflation relief lifts bond yield gloom
Jan 15, 2025 2:09 PM

(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. 

At last, some breathing room for investors after U.S. and UK inflation figures on Wednesday eased the vice-like grip that the soaring dollar and global bond yields had increasingly been exerting over markets.

It is too early to say this marks a turning point, but fixed income and emerging markets have been beaten down so much lately that they were primed for a 'good news' reversal. Upbeat U.S. bank earnings and, on the margins, the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas will also help support market sentiment on Thursday.

But it's the UK and especially the U.S. inflation news that will drive markets more, and the rapid slide in bond yields and jump in stocks should pave the way for a positive day in Asia on Thursday.

These numbers may not ultimately alter the Fed's direction or even pace of rate cuts this year. But they do take the heat off policymakers and buy them more time to assess their next steps.

For investors, they were instant triggers to reverse some of the bond selling that had snowballed in recent weeks and which had started to bleed into equity markets. Yields across the U.S. Treasury curve posted their biggest one-day declines since Nov. 25, and rates traders brought forward the next expected Fed rate cut to June from September.

Curiously, however, the impact on the dollar was muted. It fell sharply against the yen, but barely budged against the euro. Perhaps country-specific factors are playing a greater role in setting exchange rates right now rather than solely U.S. yields and rate expectations.

That may be the case in Asia, where policy and politics are spicing up local markets. Indonesia's rupiah sank to its lowest in more than six months and the country's stocks leaped on Wednesday after the central bank delivered a surprise rate cut.

Not one of the 30 analysts polled by Reuters expected the move.

The Bank of Korea delivers its latest decision on Thursday, and it could not be at a more volatile time for the country, after impeached President Yoon Suk Yeol was arrested on Wednesday and questioned for hours by investigators in relation to a criminal insurrection probe.

The BoK is expected to cut its base rate by 25 basis points to 2.75%, according to 27 out of 34 economists polled by Reuters, with the remaining seven forecasting no change.

Given the tense domestic political situation and in light of the cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation data, could the BoK surprise markets with a 50 bps cut to try and boost growth and loosen financial conditions? 

Bank Indonesia's shock move shows that even unanimous consensus forecasts are not always the one-way bet they might seem.

Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Thursday:

- South Korea interest rate decision

- South Korea fallout from President Yoon's arrest

- Australia unemployment (December)

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
PRECIOUS-Gold jumps over 3% on dip-buying as investors track Middle East tensions
PRECIOUS-Gold jumps over 3% on dip-buying as investors track Middle East tensions
Mar 27, 2026
* Trump extends deadline for striking Iran's energy plants to April 7 * Commerzbank raised its year-end gold price target to $5,000/ozSpot gold touched a four-month low of $4,097.99 on Monday (Updates prices for Amers mid-session trade, adds comments) By Anushree Mukherjee March 27 (Reuters) - Gold prices surged more than 3% on Friday on dip-buying after a pullback earlier...
European Stocks Falling in Friday Trading as Investors Remain Jittery Over Middle East Conflict, Rising Oil Prices
European Stocks Falling in Friday Trading as Investors Remain Jittery Over Middle East Conflict, Rising Oil Prices
Mar 27, 2026
11:57 AM EDT, 03/27/2026 (MT Newswires) -- The European stock markets were tracking lower in Friday trading, and look set to extend their losing streak to three weeks. The Stoxx Europe was losing 1%, Germany's DAX shed 1.4%, the FTSE 100 edged 0.1% lower, France's CAC was dropping 0.8%, and the Swiss Market Index was down 0.9%. In Spain, the...
GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks fall and oil prices rise as fears persist over Middle East war
GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks fall and oil prices rise as fears persist over Middle East war
Mar 27, 2026
* Stocks continue to slide as Trump fails to calm markets * US Treasury yields hit highest since July as bonds fall * Analyst: 'Words alone aren't cutting it right now' (Updates prices throughout, adds fresh analyst comments, U.S. market open) By Chibuike Oguh and Harry Robertson NEW YORK/LONDON, March 27 (Reuters) - Global stock markets fell and oil prices...
Top Midday Decliners
Top Midday Decliners
Mar 27, 2026
02:28 PM EDT, 03/27/2026 (MT Newswires) -- Burford Capital ( BUR ) , which backed and funded litigation against Argentina over its nationalization of YPF, tumbled 41% after a US appeals court reversed a ruling ordering the country to pay $16.1 billion to former shareholders of the oil company, according to media reports. Intraday trading volume surged to over 28.2...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved