financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
Morning Bid - Japan returns from upside-down world, AI fizzes
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Morning Bid - Japan returns from upside-down world, AI fizzes
Mar 19, 2024 3:46 AM

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan

If just two years ago, you'd imagined the day the Bank of Japan ended its negative interest rate era, you'd probably not have put the yen near 34-year lows through 150 per dollar or the Nikkei stock index within 2% of record highs.

Yet, here they are - and Bank of Japan policy rates are positive again for the first time since 2016 after the BOJ delivered its first rate hike in 17 years at Tuesday's meeting.

And it went big in its dismantling of its extraordinarily easy money regime - removing formal bond yield caps and purchases of stock funds.

Of course the move had been telegraphed for weeks, if not months, and only the timing was at issue.

And perhaps the market's eventual takeaway from the meeting was an emphasis on policy remaining "accommodative" with rates stuck around zero as a fragile economic recovery retains large rate gaps with other G7 nations.

The BOJ said it will continue its JGB purchases at broadly the same amount as before - which pushed yields lower on the day - even though it will scale back the maximum limit of its purchases.

Still the prospect of further hikes were left on the table. "If trend inflation heightens a bit more, that may lead to an increase in short-term rates," said BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said, without elaborating on the likely pace and timing of further moves.

And business welcomed the move, with the chair of Japan's biggest business lobby Keidanren describing it as "the appropriate policy decision at the appropriate time".

But with the long-awaited hike now out of the way, dollar/yen surged to 150.62 - within 1% of 2022's peaks. And the Nikkei gained 0.6% - about 1% from its record high set earlier in the month.

In the background, Australia's dollar weakened and shares there ended higher as the Australian central bank signalled greater confidence in inflation returning to its target range after leaving policy rates unchanged at 12-year highs of 4.35%.

And of course all now spins into the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting, which kicks off later on Tuesday.

The rates and currency market mood is hawkish going into the Fed meeting, although there was some relief on Treasury yields early Tuesday and spiky oil prices ebbed a bit.

Thanks largely to the yen swoon, the dollar was higher across the board, hitting its highest in almost three weeks.

But despite the cloudy U.S. interest rate picture, the buzz about artificial intelligence kept stock indexes buoyed.

Google's parent Alphabet jumped on a media report that Apple is in talks to build Google's Gemini AI engine into the iPhone.

Nvidia ( NVDA ) shares added almost 1% as it kicked off its annual developer conference as investors waited for new chip announcements from Chief Executive Jensen Huang.

But Super Micro Computer, which joined the S&P 500 on Monday, gave up earlier gains to close down 6.4%, making it the biggest percentage decliner on Monday. The stock, which has rallied furiously recently on bets it would benefit from AI, is still up more than 252% for the year-to-date.

And in a good day for mega caps, even Tesla climbed 6%, leading S&P 500 percentage gains, after the electric carmaker said it would soon increase the price of its Model Y EVs in parts of Europe.

But the tech and megacap flurry disguised a bad session for small caps, with the Russell 2000 ending down 0.7%.

Key diary items that may provide direction to U.S. markets later on Tuesday:

- U.S. Feb housing starts, Jan TIC data on foreign holding of Treasuries; Canada Feb consumer price data

- U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee starts two-day policy meeting, decision Wednesday

- US Treasury auctions 20-year bonds, 12 month bills

(Editing by Bernadette Baum)

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
MORNING BID ASIA-Markets under pressure, China house prices eyed
MORNING BID ASIA-Markets under pressure, China house prices eyed
Mar 14, 2024
March 15 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. Asian markets are likely to come under downward pressure at the open on Friday, following the sharp rise in U.S. bond yields and the dollar the previous day on the back of yet another hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation report. Wall Street's late slide on Thursday - the S&P...
CANADA STOCKS-TSX retreats from 2-year high as investors rethink rate cut bets
CANADA STOCKS-TSX retreats from 2-year high as investors rethink rate cut bets
Mar 14, 2024
* TSX ends down 0.6% at 21,829.85 * Communication services index falls 1.5% * Energy rises 0.9%; oil settles at 4-month high * Lithium Americas ( LAC ) rises 5.6% on US DOE loan (Updates at market close) By Fergal Smith March 14 (Reuters) - Canada's main stock index fell on Thursday, consolidating some recent gains, as hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation...
Producer Prices Hotter-Than-Expected in February as US Equity Futures Post Narrow Gains Pre-Bell
Producer Prices Hotter-Than-Expected in February as US Equity Futures Post Narrow Gains Pre-Bell
Mar 14, 2024
09:02 AM EDT, 03/14/2024 (MT Newswires) -- US equity futures were cautiously higher Thursday as traders digested a slate of economic reports, including producer prices and weekly jobless claims. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures gained 0.3%, S&P 500 futures slipped 0.2%, and Nasdaq futures declined 0.2%. Oil prices were higher, with front-month global benchmark North Sea Brent crude up 0.7%...
Foreigners pile into Japanese bonds amid rising bets of end to negative rates
Foreigners pile into Japanese bonds amid rising bets of end to negative rates
Mar 14, 2024
(Reuters) - Foreign investors significantly increased their purchases of Japanese bonds last week amid growing expectation that Japan may soon end its long-standing negative interest rate policy and start increasing rates this year. They acquired a massive 1.15 trillion yen (about $7.8 billion) of long-term Japanese bonds on a net basis last week, the largest weekly net purchase since early-April...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved