financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
Morning Bid: Japanese consumers, Aussie CPI in focus
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Morning Bid: Japanese consumers, Aussie CPI in focus
May 28, 2024 3:17 PM

(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets.

Japanese consumer confidence and Australian inflation are the main points of focus for markets in Asia on Wednesday, as investors ponder the broader implications of a widespread rise in bond yields.

U.S. Treasury yields, the benchmark for global borrowing costs, rose to four-week highs on Tuesday in the wake of a weak U.S. debt auction, leading to a mixed performance on Wall Street.

The Dow fell, the S&P 500 was flat and Nvidia's extraordinary rally powered the Nasdaq to a fresh record high - shares in the AI poster child have soared 20% in the last three trading days and the firm is now worth $2.8 trillion. 

But Asian markets on Wednesday may be more sensitive to the tightening of financial conditions from U.S. yields than the U.S. tech boom. Some analysts reckon the 10-year Treasury yield may now be entering a higher range of 4.50% to 4.70%, and the two-year yield is knocking on the door of 5.00% again.

Closer to home, Japanese Government Bond yields are also under renewed scrutiny. Yields are making new multi-year highs across the curve, prompting a flurry of comments from Japanese and global officials in recent days. 

The 10-year JGB yield rose for an eighth straight day on Tuesday to hit a fresh 12-year high of 1.035%, and the 2-year JGB yield inched up to a new 15-year peak of 0.36%.

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda on Saturday said the bank's 'basic stance' is that long-term bond yields should be set by markets. But this is difficult for the BOJ, which has for years been hoovering up JGBs in its battle against deflation and now owns more than 50% of the entire market.

Higher bond yields raises the BOJ's interest bill. A lot. 

On the other hand, higher JGB yields could support the yen, which officials would probably welcome - Japan's finance minister on Tuesday said he was more concerned about the down side of a weak exchange rate right now, namely the increased burden on companies and consumers from higher import prices.   

Do JGB yields take a breather here? BOJ data on Tuesday sent out mixed signals on inflation - corporate services prices are rising at their fastest pace since 2015, but other data show key measurements of underlying inflation falling below the bank's 2% target for the first time since August 2022.

If 'higher for longer' JGB yields boost the yen, Japan Inc. could feel the squeeze. The weak currency has attracted huge foreign investor flows into Japan, but with further 'material' weakness no longer likely, HSBC strategists are closing their overweight position in Japanese equities. 

Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Wednesday:

- Australia inflation (April)

- Japan consumer confidence (May)

- IMF's Gita Gopinath briefs media following IMF's annual assessment of the Chinese economy

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
SocGen's Thursday Outlook for Currencies, Bonds, Macroeconomics, Policy Events
SocGen's Thursday Outlook for Currencies, Bonds, Macroeconomics, Policy Events
Sep 6, 2024
06:40 AM EDT, 09/05/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar (USD) remains offered early Thursday after higher Japanese wage data vindicates higher rates by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and a first back-to-back increase in new (large-scale) orders since last December shows there is life in German industry, said Societe Generale. The story is more nuanced in emerging markets (EM)...
Morning Bid: Stocks calmed as action switches to rates, jobs
Morning Bid: Stocks calmed as action switches to rates, jobs
Sep 6, 2024
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan U.S. stocks look to have weathered the early September squall for now but interest rate speculation and ebbing bond yields now take center stage as evidence mounts of slowing U.S. labor market. Futures markets now see almost a 50-50 chance of a 50 basis point Federal...
Stocks Mostly Up Pre-Bell Ahead of Key Jobs Data; Asia Churns, Europe Rises
Stocks Mostly Up Pre-Bell Ahead of Key Jobs Data; Asia Churns, Europe Rises
Sep 6, 2024
07:17 AM EDT, 09/05/2024 (MT Newswires) -- US equity markets mostly edged higher in Thursday's premarket activity as traders await crucial jobs data to assess labor market strength. Standard & Poor's 500 was slightly in the green and the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.1% before the opening bell, while the Nasdaq decreased 0.1%. Asian exchanges were mixed to lower...
Futures subdued as caution prevails ahead of jobs data
Futures subdued as caution prevails ahead of jobs data
Sep 6, 2024
(Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures were flat to marginally lower ahead of a series of economic data on Thursday as investors scoured for clues to determine the size of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut that is expected later this month. The S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq closed lower for the second straight session on Wednesday after a...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved