financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
Morning Bid: Jobs in focus after the rebound
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Morning Bid: Jobs in focus after the rebound
Aug 20, 2024 10:54 PM

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Tom Westbrook

Markets' sparkling recovery from early August's sell-off has hit an air pocket, with Asian shares down on Wednesday and Tuesday's small drop leaving the S&P 500 a day short of matching a 20-year-old winning streak.

A yen at 145.5 per dollar, and rising, sapped sentiment in Japanese stocks and news that Walmart is looking to sell its JD.com stake sent the Chinese online retailer's shares slumping in Hong Kong, after what had been a big bounce on an upbeat earnings report.

Market momentum is stumbling more or less where the selling began two weeks ago and brings us full circle on the economic outlook: waiting on data to gauge the risk of recession and watching polling to gauge the U.S. presidential contest.

Former U.S. President Barack Obama returned to the national stage on Tuesday night to boost his longtime Democratic ally Kamala Harris in her 11th-hour presidential bid against Republican Donald Trump.

Fed minutes are due later on Wednesday, along with revisions to U.S. labour data. Goldman Sachs expects a downward revision in the range of 600,000 to 1 million jobs added, although it argues this would overstate the weakness of the labour market.

Much will also depend on the U.S. labour report due on Sept. 6, with the job market in greater focus now that inflation seems to be trending lower.

Rates markets have fully priced a 25 basis point U.S. interest rate cut for September and a near 1/3 chance of a 50 bp cut, driving the dollar down steadily on just about everything.

Gold has notched records above $2,500 an ounce this week and the euro is in unfamiliar territory at $1.11.

Some analysts see risks if the labour market seems stronger than expected, or if Fed Chair Jerome Powell doesn't sound very dovish in a speech he is due to give at Jackson Hole on Friday.

CNN's fear and greed index, derived from conditions in stock, options and credit markets, has recovered to neutral from "extreme fear" just a week ago. But investors seem to want new data to validate the benign outlook before plunging in again.

Data in Asia on Wednesday showed Japanese exports lagging expectations, while South Korean exports for the first 20 days of August went up 18.5% from a year earlier.

Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:

Economics: U.S. labour data revisions

Policy: U.S. Federal Reserve minutes

(Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman)

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Asian Equities Traded in US as ADRs Rise in Tuesday Trading
Asian Equities Traded in US as ADRs Rise in Tuesday Trading
Oct 22, 2024
10:47 AM EDT, 10/22/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Asian equities traded in the US as American depositary receipts edged higher Tuesday morning with the S&P Asia 50 ADR Index up 0.1% to 2,100.12. From North Asia, the gainers were led by fintech firm Pintec Technology ( PT ) and consumer lending company LexinFintech ( LX ) , which both climbed 10%....
European Equities Traded in the US as American Depositary Receipts Nudge Lower in Tuesday Trading
European Equities Traded in the US as American Depositary Receipts Nudge Lower in Tuesday Trading
Oct 22, 2024
11:10 AM EDT, 10/22/2024 (MT Newswires) -- European equities traded in the US as American depositary receipts were moving slightly lower late Tuesday morning, declining 0.13% to 1,397.40 on the S&P Europe Select ADR Index. From continental Europe, the gainers were led by biopharmaceutical companies Cellectis ( CLLS ) and Grifols ( GRFS ) , which rose 2.7% and 1.8%,...
CEE MARKETS-Forint firms as Hungary's central bank pauses rate cuts
CEE MARKETS-Forint firms as Hungary's central bank pauses rate cuts
Oct 22, 2024
(Adds Hungary cen bank decision, forint reaction, trader quote) By Anita Komuves BUDAPEST, Oct 22 (Reuters) - Hungary's forint firmed against the euro on Thursday after the central bank left its base rate unchanged, as widely expected, and said it could keep the rate at the current level for a prolonged period if needed. The forint was up 0.32% on...
Wheaton Precious Metals Has Sector Perform Rating, US$60 Price Target at RBC Capital Markets; Shares at 52 Week Highs
Wheaton Precious Metals Has Sector Perform Rating, US$60 Price Target at RBC Capital Markets; Shares at 52 Week Highs
Oct 22, 2024
10:20 AM EDT, 10/22/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Wheaton Precious Metals ( WPM ) maintained its Sector Perform rating and US$60 price target at RBC Capital Markets, according to a note published Monday. RBC's update comes after Rio2 ( RIOFF ) announced a US$150 million financing package for its Fenix gold project in Chile, comprising U$120 million from Wheaton and a...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved