financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
Morning Bid: No end in sight for Trump-fuelled trade
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Morning Bid: No end in sight for Trump-fuelled trade
Nov 13, 2024 10:23 PM

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Rae Wee

Market movement over the past week or so since Donald Trump won the U.S. presidential election have been characterised by a turbo-charged rally in bitcoin, higher Treasury yields and a relentless U.S. dollar. And Thursday was no different.

Never mind that traders are now pricing in an over 80% chance of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next month after Wednesday's inflation report. The prospect of a cut would usually send the dollar down but it rose to a one-year high anyway, riding a wave of bullish momentum from Trump's victory.

The President-elect's promise of tax cuts could juice the economy, widen budget deficits and increase government borrowing - all of which have already pushed long-end Treasury yields higher. [US/]

His plans for hefty import tariffs are also expected to stoke inflation and reduce the Fed's scope to ease policy.

With projections the Republican Party is likely to control both houses of Congress when Trump takes office in January, he's set for sweeping power to push his agenda.

In Europe, markets will wake up to the release of the euro zone's second estimate for gross domestic product growth and third-quarter flash employment data.

Preliminary figures in October showed the bloc grew faster than market watchers expected in the third quarter from the previous three months, though stayed fragile as industry remained in recession and household consumption barely grew.

Later in the day, Fed Chair Jerome Powell will speak in Dallas after having had time to digest the U.S. October producer prices report that will be released just beforehand.

PPI figures feed more directly into the Fed's preferred inflation indicator, the personal consumption expenditures price index, which arrives later in the month.

Still, there is only so much Powell can say for 2025 and beyond given much depends on what Trump does when he takes office.

Trump has already made a flurry of picks for his cabinet and other high-ranking administration positions, spanning posts overseeing defence, intelligence, diplomacy, trade, immigration and economic policymaking.

Sources told Reuters that billionaire banker Howard Lutnick has emerged as a contender alongside investor Scott Bessent for the top Treasury job.

Key developments that could influence markets on Thursday:

- Second estimate of Q3 euro zone GDP

- Euro zone Q3 flash employment

- U.S. weekly jobless claims

- U.S. October PPI

- Fed's Powell speaks

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
TRADING DAY-Stocks stumble, dollar up as Fed looms
TRADING DAY-Stocks stumble, dollar up as Fed looms
Jul 29, 2025
ORLANDO, Florida, July 29 (Reuters) - TRADING DAY Making sense of the forces driving global markets By Jamie McGeever, Markets Columnist The S&P 500 and Nasdaq ground out new highs on Tuesday but closed in the red, as earnings optimism faded and investors took chips off the table ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision and steer on Wednesday. More...
CANADA STOCKS-TSX hits record high as Celestica jumps, commodity prices rise
CANADA STOCKS-TSX hits record high as Celestica jumps, commodity prices rise
Jul 29, 2025
* TSX ends up 0.5% at 27,539.88 * Eclipses Friday's record closing high * Celestica ( CLS ) climbs 16.9% on Q2 results * Metal mining and energy shares climb (Updates at market close) By Fergal Smith July 29 (Reuters) - Canada's main stock index rose to a new record high on Tuesday, led by gains for resource and technology...
GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares retreat, euro dips, oil prices soar with tariffs in focus 
GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares retreat, euro dips, oil prices soar with tariffs in focus 
Jul 29, 2025
(Updates prices to late afternoon with oil settlement) * Euro extends decline after Monday's retreat * Wall St indexes edge lower up before Fed, mega cap earnings * Analysts warn tariffs are drag on EU and US economies * Oil rises after Trump shortens Russia deadline By Sinéad Carew and Nell Mackenzie NEW YORK/LONDON, July 29 (Reuters) - Global equities...
TSX Closer: The Index Rebounds To a Record Close On Elevated Commodity Prices and Trade Hopes
TSX Closer: The Index Rebounds To a Record Close On Elevated Commodity Prices and Trade Hopes
Jul 29, 2025
04:15 PM EDT, 07/29/2025 (MT Newswires) -- The Toronto Stock Exchange rebounded to a fresh record high on Tuesday, buoyed by elevated commodity prices and hopes that free trade carveouts will be a key part of an eventual tariffs deal between Canada and the United States. The resources-heavy S&P/TSX Composite Index closed up 134.46 points to 27,539.88, topping the prior...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved