NEW DELHI, March 18 (Reuters) - Oil prices ticked up in
Asian trade on Monday, extending gains from last week of nearly
4% on the view that supply was tightening, with the risks
heightened by further attacks on Russian energy infrastructure.
Brent crude oil futures for May delivery climbed 47
cents, or 0.5%, to $85.81 a barrel by 0720 GMT. The April
contract for U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was up 49
cents, or 0.6%, at $81.53. The more active May delivery contract
for WTI traded 50 cents, or 0.6%, higher at $81.08 per barrel.
"The strikes on Russian refineries added $2-$3 per barrel of
risk premium to crude last week, which remains in place as we
start this week with more attacks over the weekend," said
Vandana Hari, founder of oil market analysis provider Vanda
Insights.
But for the next substantial move up or down, crude will
await fresh signals, Hari added.
On Saturday, one of the strikes sparked a brief fire at the
Slavyansk refinery in Kasnodar, which processes 8.5 million
metric tons of crude oil a year, or 170,000 barrels per day.
A Reuters analysis found the attacks have idled around 7% of
Russian refining capacity in the first quarter. The refining
complexes process and export crude varieties to several markets
including China and India.
In the Middle East, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu confirmed on Sunday he will proceed with plans to push
into Gaza's Rafah enclave where more than 1 million displaced
people are sheltering, defying pressure from Israel's allies.
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said the step would make regional
peace "very difficult".
This week, investors are keeping watch on the outcome of the
U.S. Federal Reserve's two-day meeting that ends on Wednesday.
That will bring more clarity on the timing of interest rate
cuts, Tony Sycamore, a market analyst with IG, wrote in a note.
The Fed will likely keep rates unchanged this month, while
the possibility of an interest rate cut at the June meeting "is
now a coin flip," Sycamore said.
Lower interest rates would stimulate demand in the U.S., the
world's biggest oil consumer, supporting oil prices.
Both benchmark oil contracts posted gains last week despite
a dip on Friday. Oil been rangebound for much of the last month,
but on Thursday a bullish demand report from the International
Energy Agency sent prices rising to their highest level since
November.
The agency, which represents industrialised countries, had
strengthened its demand outlook for the fourth time since
November as Houthi attacks in the Red Sea drove crude and fuel
carriers to divert, reducing the oil accessible to users. For
the first time, IEA also predicted a slight supply deficit this
year, instead of a surplus.
U.S. fuel demand also supported prices as refineries
completed some projects.
As of Friday's close, Brent and WTI futures were up 11% and
13%, respectively, in 2024.
(Reporting by Mohi Narayan and Colleen Howe; Editing by Jamie
Freed and Muralikumar Anantharaman)