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Oil prices dip as geopolitical risks stabilise, China demand weighs
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Oil prices dip as geopolitical risks stabilise, China demand weighs
Oct 22, 2024 12:51 PM

TOKYO/SINGAPORE, Oct 22 (Reuters) - Oil prices eased on

Tuesday as the top U.S. diplomat renewed efforts to push for a

ceasefire in the Middle East and as slowing demand growth in

China, the world's top oil importer, continued to weigh on the

market.

Brent crude futures for December delivery were down

19 cents, or 0.3%, at $74.1 a barrel at 0350 GMT. U.S. West

Texas Intermediate crude futures for November delivery

were 18 cents lower at $70.43 a barrel on the contract's last

day as the front month.

The more actively traded WTI futures for December,

which will soon become the front month, lost 14 cents, or 0.2%,

to $69.9 per barrel.

Both Brent and WTI settled nearly 2% higher on Monday,

recouping some of last week's more than 7% decline, with no

letup of fighting in the Middle East and the market still

nervous about Israel's expected retaliation against Iran

potentially leading to a disruption of oil supply.

Monday's gains can be attributed to technical profit-taking

and short covering given oil's bearish trend with forecasts

pointing towards softer demand and oversupplied oil markets,

said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior analyst at Phillip Nova, a

brokerage firm.

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken headed to the Middle

East on Monday seeking to revive talks to end the Gaza war and

defuse the spillover conflict in Lebanon.

"Crude oil prices have been fluctuating in response to mixed

news from the Middle East, as the situation alternates between

escalation and de-escalation," Satoru Yoshida, a commodity

analyst with Rakuten Securities.

"The market is expected to rise if there are clearer signs

of China's economic recovery, bolstered by Beijing's stimulus

measures and improvement in U.S. economy following interest rate

cuts," he said. But gains are likely to be limited by persistent

uncertainty about the overall global economic outlook, he added.

China on Monday cut benchmark lending rates as anticipated

at the monthly fixing, following reductions to other policy

rates last month as part of a package of stimulus measures to

revive the economy.

The move comes after data on Friday showed China's economy

grew at the slowest pace since early 2023 in the third quarter,

fuelling growing concerns about oil demand.

China's oil-demand growth is expected to remain weak in 2025

despite recent stimulus measures from Beijing as the world's No.

2 economy electrifies its car fleet and grows at a slower pace,

the head of the International Energy Agency said on Monday.

Still, Saudi Aramco is "fairly bullish" on China's

oil demand especially in light of the government's stimulus

package which aims to boost growth, the head of the state-owned

oil giant said on Monday.

Also contributing to the downward pressure on oil market was

the U.S. dollar strength driven by a gradual easing of global

inflation, Phillip Nova's Sachdeva said.

A stronger dollar normally weighs on oil prices as it makes

the greenback-priced commodity more expensive for non-dollar

holders to buy.

U.S. crude oil stockpiles likely rose last week, while

distillate and gasoline inventories were seen down, a

preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.

(Reporting by Yuka Obayashi in Tokyo and Siyi Liu in Singapore;

Editing by Sonali Paul and Lincoln Feast.)

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