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Oil prices remain near four-month highs as markets weigh Russia sanctions impact
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Oil prices remain near four-month highs as markets weigh Russia sanctions impact
Jan 13, 2025 5:58 PM

*

Prices slip in early trading but hold near four-month

highs

*

New US sanctions hit large portion of Russia's 'shadow

fleet'

*

Sanctions could take 700,000-800,000 bpd of Russian crude

off

the market-analysts

*

Tighter supply could lead to Brent prices at or above $85

a

barrel-analysts

By Colleen Howe

BEIJING, Jan 14 (Reuters) - Oil prices slipped at market

open on Tuesday but remained near four-month highs as Chinese

and Indian buyers sought new suppliers in the wake of the Biden

administration's toughest sanctions yet on Russian oil.

Brent LCOc1 futures slipped 22 cents, or 0.27%, to $80.79 a

barrel by 0122 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI)

crude fell 16 cents, or 0.2% to $78.66 a barrel.

That followed roughly 2% gains in Monday trading, after the

U.S. Treasury Department on Friday imposed sanctions on Gazprom

Neft and Surgutneftegas as well as 183 vessels that

trade oil as part of Russia's so-called "shadow fleet" of

tankers. The move is expected to cost Russia billions of dollars

per month, according to one U.S. official.

"A large portion of Russia's shadow tanker fleet has been

sanctioned, making it more difficult for Russia and buyers to

circumvent the G-7 price cap. These sanctions have the potential

to take as much as 700,000 barrels per day (bpd) of supply off

the market, which would erase the surplus that we are expecting

for this year," ING analysts said in a note.

But the analysts added the actual impact would probably be

less as buyers and sellers found ways to continue getting around

the sanctions.

Robert Rennie, head of commodity and carbon strategy at

Westpac, said the new measures could affect 800,000 bpd of

Russian crude exports for "an extended period" and as much as

150,000 bpd of diesel exports.

As a result, Brent prices could near $85 per barrel, Rennie

said, pointing also to the extension of OPEC+ production cuts.

Goldman Sachs had said on Friday that Brent prices could top

$85 per barrel in the short term and $90 if a decline in Russian

output coincided with a reduction in Iranian production.

U.S. President Joe Biden said prices would stabilise after

the sanctions and they were not meant to impact the pocketbooks

of U.S. consumers.

Weaker demand from major buyer China could blunt the impact

of the tighter supply. China's crude oil imports fell in 2024

for the first time in two decades outside of the COVID-19

pandemic, official data showed on Monday.

Six European countries on Monday also called on the EU to

lower its $60 a barrel price cap on Russian seaborne crude and

refined oil products, measures aimed at reducing Russia's

ability to wage war in Ukraine.

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