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Iran suspending cooperation with IAEA boosts geopolitical
risk
premium: analyst
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Weaker US dollar supportive of oil prices
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Up next: official US crude inventory report from EIA at
1430 GMT
(Updates prices, paragraph 1 and headline, adds analyst
comment)
By Anna Hirtenstein
LONDON, July 2 (Reuters) - Oil futures edged up on
Wednesday as Iran suspended cooperation with the U.N. nuclear
watchdog and markets weighed expectations of more supply from
major producers next month while the U.S. dollar softened
further.
Brent crude added 56 cents, or 0.8%, to $67.67 a
barrel at 0934 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude
rose 53 cents, or 0.8%, at $65.98 a barrel.
Brent has traded between a high of $69.05 a barrel and low
of $66.34 since June 25, as concerns of supply disruptions in
the Middle East producing region have ebbed following the
ceasefire between Iran and Israel.
Iran put into effect a law on Wednesday that stipulates that
any future inspection of its nuclear sites by the International
Atomic Energy Agency needs approval by Tehran's Supreme National
Security Council. The country has accusing the institution of
siding with Western countries and providing a justification for
Israel's air strikes
"The market is pricing in some geopolitical risk premium
from Iran's move on the IAEA," said Giovanni Staunovo, commodity
analyst at UBS. "But this is about sentiment, there are no
disruptions to oil."
Planned supply increases by the Organization of the
Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies including Russia,
know as OPEC+, appear already priced in by investors and are
unlikely to catch markets off-guard again imminently, said
Phillip Nova senior market analyst Priyanka Sachdeva.
Four OPEC+ sources told Reuters last week the group plans to
raise output by 411,000 barrels per day next month when it meets
on July 6, a similar amount to hikes agreed for May, June and
July.
"We are all talking about additional supply coming to the
market, but the supply has not really hit the market," Staunovo
said. "Probably because it's being consumed domestically."
Saudi Arabia lifted shipments in June by 450,000 bpd
from May, according to data from Kpler, its highest in more than
a year. However, overall OPEC+ exports are relatively flat to
slightly down since March, Staunovo said. He expects this to
persist over the summer as hot weather drives higher energy
demand.
The greenback continued to weaken, falling to a 3-1/2-year
low against major peers earlier on Wednesday. A weaker dollar
tends to support oil prices, as it could boost demand for buyers
paying in other currencies.
U.S. non-farm payrolls data due on Thursday will shape
expectations around the depth and timing of interest rate cuts
by the Federal Reserve in the second half of this year, said
Tony Sycamore, analyst at IG.
Lower interest rates could spur economic activity which
would in turn boost oil demand.
Official U.S. oil stockpile data from the Energy Information
Administration is due Wednesday at 10:30 a.m. ET.
American Petroleum Institute data late on Tuesday showed
U.S. crude oil inventories rose by 680,000 barrels in the past
week at a time when stockpiles typically draw amid the summer
demand season, sources said.