BEIJING, March 18 (Reuters) - Oil prices ticked up in
early Asian trading on Monday, firming up gains from last week
when prices rose nearly 4% on the view that supply was
tightening.
Brent crude oil futures for May delivery inched up 3
cents to $85.37 a barrel by 0045 GMT. The April contract for
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was up 10 cents to
$81.14.
"Geopolitical risks also remain elevated," analysts from ANZ
wrote in a note, pointing to a stepped-up campaign of Ukranian
drone strikes on Russian oil refineries over the last week.
On Saturday, one of the strikes sparked a brief fire at the
Slavyansk refinery in Kasnodar, which processes 8.5 million
metric tons of crude oil a year, or 170,000 barrels per day.
A Reuters analysis found the attacks have idled around 7% of
Russian refining capacity in the first quarter.
In the Middle East, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu confirmed on Sunday he will proceed with plans to push
into Gaza's Rafah enclave where more than 1 million displaced
people are sheltering, defying pressure from Israel's allies.
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said the step would make regional
peace "very difficult."
This week, investors are eyeing the outcome of the U.S.
Federal Reserve's two-day meeting to be disclosed on Wednesday.
That will bring more clarity on the timing of interest rate
cuts, Tony Sycamore, a market analyst with IG, wrote in a note.
The Fed will likely keep rates unchanged this month, while
the possibility of interest rate cuts at the June meeting "is
now a coin flip," Sycamore said.
Lower interest rates would stimulate demand in the U.S.,
supporting oil prices.
Both benchmark oil contracts finished last week nearly 4%
higher despite a dip on Friday. Oil been rangebound for much of
the last month, but on Thursday a bullish demand report from the
International Energy Agency sent prices rising to their highest
level since November.
The agency, which represents industrialised countries, had
strengthened its demand outlook for the fourth time since
November as Houthi attacks in the Red Sea drove vessels to
divert, increasing fuel consumption. For the first time, IEA
also predicted a slight deficit this year, instead of a surplus.
U.S. fuel demand also supported prices as refineries
completed some projects.
As of Friday's close, Brent and WTI futures were up 11% and
13%, respectively, in 2024.